US Heat Pump Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

The Report Covers US Heat Pump Market Trends and it is segmented by Type (air-source, water-source, ground-source), by End-User (Industrial, Commercial and Institutional), by efficiency (low efficiency (HSPF: 8.0-8.99), high efficiency (HSPF: 9 and above)).

US Heat Pump Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

US Heat Pump Market Size

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United States Heat Pump Market Size
Study Period 2019 - 2030
Base Year For Estimation 2024
Forecast Data Period 2025 - 2030
Historical Data Period 2019 - 2023
CAGR 9.40 %
Market Concentration Medium

Major Players

United States Heat Pump Market Key players

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

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US Heat Pump Market Analysis

The United States Heat Pump Market is expected to register a CAGR of 9.4% during the forecast period.

  • The introduction of new government regulations, in the United States, is expected to result in increased energy efficiency of HVAC equipment. Starting from 2023, all new residential central air-source heat pump systems sold in the United States are expected to meet new minimum energy efficiency regulations and standards. The latest minimum energy efficiency standards for these equipment types went into effect in 2015. The new regulations require an increase in the heating efficiency of all air-source heat pumps.
  • Moreover, the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) reported that homeowners could save up to 70% on heating costs and 50% on cooling costs with geothermal. Such instances are likely to boost the market growth.
  • According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), these pumps are less common worldwide, as they have an annual sales of around 400,000, in which more than half of the installations are in the United States, where shipments and installations have more than doubled since 2010, partly owing to a 30% federal tax credit available during 2018-21.
  • Furthermore, the heat pumps have been regulated by the governments in the region for their energy efficiency. For instance, the Department of Energy (DOE) announced Fan Energy Rating (FER) that sets a minimum airflow efficiency standard for residential furnace fans.
  • With the new FER standards, the US DOE predicts that the new standard for furnace fans might save about 3.99 quads of energy, reduce carbon pollution by 34 million metric tons, and save the American citizens more than USD 9 billion electric bills through 2030. According to new state law, the city of Maine seeks installers to help meet the goal of 100,000 heat pumps over the next five years.

US Heat Pump Industry Overview

The competitive rivalry in the heat pump market is moderately high owing to the presence of some major players such as Lennox, Daikin, Carrier amongst others. Their ability to continually innovate their offerings has enabled them to gain a competitive advantage over other players in the market. Through research & development activities, mergers & acquisitions these players have been able to expand their market footprint.

  • August 2021 - Gradient announced to devlop home window heat pump that will be designed toprovide heating and coolin throught the year by making use of climate-friendly refrigerant that can possibly propane (R290) and help reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 75% compared to conventional systems.
  • October 2021 - Mitsubishi Electric Trane HVAC US launched CO2 (R744) heat pump water heater, the Heat2O, for commercial and industrial applications as emphasis on decarbonization increased in the country and continious efforts to replace fossil fuel heaters prevails in the country.

US Heat Pump Market Leaders

  1. Lennox International Inc.

  2. Nortek Air Management

  3. Carrier Corporation

  4. Rheem Manufacturing Company

  5. Johnson Controls International PLC

  6. *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Lennox International Inc, Nortek Air Management, Carrier Corporation, Rheem Manufacturing Company, Johnson Controls International PL
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US Heat Pump Market News

  • June 2022 - U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and Secretary of Energy recognised Lennox International Inc. for being the first HVAC manufacturer to achieve the objectives outlined in the DOE's Cold Climate Heat Pump Technology Challenge.
  • February 2022 - U.S. Environmental Protection Agency announces the launch of the ENERGY STAR Home Upgrade that can save average family about USD 500 a year on utility bills. The upgrade includes An ENERGY STAR certified air source heat pump for clean and efficient heating and cooling and An ENERGY STAR certified heat pump water heater for super-efficient hot water. 

US Heat Pump Market Report - Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4. MARKET INSIGHTS

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.2.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.2.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.2.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.2.4 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
    • 4.2.5 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.3 Assessment of the Impact of COVID-19 on the Industry
  • 4.4 Industry Value Chain
  • 4.5 Thecnology Snapshot on Efficiency (only for relevant equipment which are regulated by Federal Standards)
    • 4.5.1 Low (HSPF: 8.0-8.99)
    • 4.5.2 High (HSPF: 9 and Above)

5. MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 5.1 Market Drivers
    • 5.1.1 Replacement of Existing Equipment with Better Performing Ones and Reinstating of Tax Credits for Heat Pumps
    • 5.1.2 Increasing Government Initiatives To Curb Carbon Emission
  • 5.2 Market Challenges
    • 5.2.1 Lack Of Regulations Related To Refrigerant Usage Is Expected To Create Uncertainties For Industry Participants
    • 5.2.2 High Installation Cost Of Heat Pumps

6. MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 6.1 By Type
    • 6.1.1 Air-source
    • 6.1.2 Water-source
    • 6.1.3 Geothermal (ground) Source
  • 6.2 By End User
    • 6.2.1 Residential
    • 6.2.2 Commercial
    • 6.2.3 Industrial

7. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 7.1 Company Profiles
    • 7.1.1 DAIKIN INDUSTRIES LTD
    • 7.1.2 Carrier GLOBAL corporation (UNITED TECHNOLOGIES corporation)
    • 7.1.3 RHEEM MANUFACTURING COMPANY
    • 7.1.4 Trane technologies plc (ingersol-rand plc)
    • 7.1.5 Johnson Controls International plc
    • 7.1.6 Nortek AIR MANAGEMENT (Melrose industries plc) -
    • 7.1.7 LENNOX INTERNATONAL INC.
    • 7.1.8 ROBERT BOSCH GMBH
    • 7.1.9 EMERSON ELECTRIC CO.
    • 7.1.10 GE APPLIANCES
    • 7.1.11 STIEBEL ELTRON GmbH & Co. KG (DE)
  • *List Not Exhaustive

8. INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

9. FUTURE OF THE MARKET

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US Heat Pump Industry Segmentation

Heat Pumps are equipments that are alternatives to air conditioners and furnaces in all climates. The equipment uses electricity to transfer the heat from a cool space to warm space. Scope of the report covers a detailed analysis on diffrent types of heat pumps use across various end users in the cpountry.

The study includes various heat pumps, such as air source, water source, and geothermal sources, across various end-user industries, such as industrial, commercial, and residential, among others. The competitive landscape has been taken to calculate the heat pump penetration and how players involve themselves in organic and inorganic growth strategies. Additionally, these companies continuously innovate their products to increase their market share and profitability. Furthermore, the market study has also focused on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the market ecosystem. Also, the recent changes in the trade scenario are analyzed in the study.

By Type Air-source
Water-source
Geothermal (ground) Source
By End User Residential
Commercial
Industrial
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US Heat Pump Market Research FAQs

What is the current United States Heat Pump Market size?

The United States Heat Pump Market is projected to register a CAGR of 9.4% during the forecast period (2025-2030)

Who are the key players in United States Heat Pump Market?

Lennox International Inc., Nortek Air Management, Carrier Corporation, Rheem Manufacturing Company and Johnson Controls International PLC are the major companies operating in the United States Heat Pump Market.

What years does this United States Heat Pump Market cover?

The report covers the United States Heat Pump Market historical market size for years: 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024. The report also forecasts the United States Heat Pump Market size for years: 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030.

US Heat Pump Industry Report

The U.S. heat pump market is witnessing substantial growth, fueled by the rising demand for energy-efficient systems and a focus on reducing carbon emissions. Heat pumps are increasingly favored for heating and cooling in various sectors due to their ability to transfer heat efficiently using components like condensers, compressors, and evaporators. Supported by favorable government policies promoting sustainable energy, the market sees innovations from heat pump manufacturers who are expanding their product ranges to include air source, ground source, and water source heat pumps. These products cater to diverse efficiency needs and applications in residential, commercial, and industrial settings. The shift towards eco-friendly and cost-effective solutions is driving the adoption of heat pumps, aligning with market trends towards sustainability. For detailed insights, including the heat pump market share, size, revenue growth rate, and a forecast outlook, access a free report PDF download from Mordor Intelligence™ Industry Reports, which provides a comprehensive historical overview and analysis of heat pump market trends and strategies by leading heat pump manufacturers.

US Heat Pump Market Report Snapshots