Market Trends of south africa two-wheeler Industry
South Africa is experiencing a steady rise in vehicle electrification across all segments, with future forecasts suggesting significant growth by 2030, emphasizing the nation's dedication to sustainable mobility, carbon emission reduction, and alignment with global electrification trends
- The automotive sector in South Africa is witnessing a notable push toward electrification. In the passenger cars segment, the electrification rate stood at 2% in 2022 and 4% in 2023. Light commercial vehicles' (LCVs) electrification percentage rose from 0.20% in 2022 to 1.09% in 2023. The medium and heavy-duty truck (M&HDT) category, though slower to adopt, initiated its foray into electrification in 2023, starting at a 0.10% rate. Buses, a vital component of public transportation, are transitioning as well, with their electrification rate forecasted to climb from 0.50% in 2022 to 1.96% in 2023.
- From 2017 to 2022, South Africa showcased a growing commitment to greener transportation. The electrification rate for passenger cars surged from 2% in 2017 to 5% by 2022. LCVs witnessed a similar trend, with their electrification rate expanding from 0.20% in 2017 to nearly 2% in 2022. While the M&HDT category remained largely untouched by electrification until 2022, it did exhibit a nascent interest, starting at a 0.10% rate. In contrast, the two-wheeler segment, known for its affordability, saw a significant jump in electrification, from 1.50% in 2017 to 7.81% in 2022.
- From 2024 to 2030, South Africa is poised for a steady surge in vehicle electrification across all segments. Projections indicate that by 2030, electrified passenger cars will make up 12% of the market. LCVs are expected to hit a 6% electrification rate, while the M&HDT segment is expected to expand its electric fleet, reaching 4% by 2030. Buses, crucial for sustainable urban mobility, are anticipated to achieve a 10% electrification rate by 2030. The two-wheeler segment, prized for its efficiency and affordability, is forecasted to make a significant leap, reaching a 22% electrification rate by 2030.
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OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT
- South Africa's population growth, driven by factors like improved healthcare and economic conditions, is expected to continue steadily, reaching 68.34 million by 2030
- After significant fluctuations from 2017-2022, CVP in South Africa is projected to steadily rise from 2024-2030, driven by technological advancements, financing options, and a growing middle class.
- South Africa's auto interest rates experienced fluctuations, influenced by economic policies and global conditions, with a notable increase in 2022
- Downward trend in pack prices and promising future prospects
- Average Brent crude oil price increased from USD 79.75 to USD 84.78 in September 2023 due to tightening supply resulting from production cuts by Saudi Arabia
- GDP per capita on a steady growth trajectory, reaching USD 7,235.46 by 2030, driven by economic reforms and improved business conditions.
- Harnessing stability in inflation is pivotal for South Africa's prosperous economic future
- The South African EV charging station market is set to expand in line with sustainability goals
- South Africa's EV market is on the cusp of expansion with key investments and new model introductions setting the stage for a greener automotive landscape.
