South Africa Two-Wheeler Market Size and Share
Market Overview
| Study Period | 2017 - 2029 |
|---|---|
| Forecast Data Period | 2025 - 2029 |
| Historical Data Period | 2017 - 2023 |
| Market Size (2025) | USD 105 Million |
| Market Size (2029) | USD 210.4 Million |
| Growth Rate (2025 - 2029) | 18.99 % |
| Market Concentration | Medium |
Major Players *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order Image © Mordor Intelligence. Reuse requires attribution under CC BY 4.0. | |
South Africa Two-Wheeler Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The South Africa Two-Wheeler Market size is estimated at 105 million USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 210.4 million USD by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 18.99% during the forecast period (2025-2029).
The South African two-wheeler industry is experiencing significant transformation, driven by changing consumer preferences and technological advancements. With a population of 61.528 million in 2023, the country has witnessed increased urbanization and a growing middle class, leading to higher demand for personal mobility solutions. The industry has responded by introducing innovative products and services, with manufacturers focusing on developing fuel-efficient and technologically advanced vehicles. Traditional dealership models are evolving to incorporate digital platforms, enabling better customer engagement and streamlined purchasing processes.
The market landscape is characterized by intense competition among established players and new entrants, fostering innovation and product diversification. Leading manufacturers are investing in research and development to enhance their product portfolios, with BMW Motorrad maintaining its market leadership through strategic product launches and customer-centric approaches. The industry has witnessed a surge in strategic partnerships and collaborations, particularly in the electric two-wheeler segment, as companies aim to capitalize on emerging opportunities and strengthen their market positions.
Technological innovation continues to reshape the two-wheeler market, with a particular emphasis on electric mobility solutions. The declining battery pack prices, reaching 176 USD/kWh in 2023, have made electric two-wheelers more accessible to consumers. Manufacturers are increasingly incorporating advanced features such as connected technology, improved safety systems, and enhanced performance capabilities. The charging infrastructure has also expanded, with the country boasting 300 charging stations by 2022, supporting the growing adoption of electric two-wheelers.
The industry's future outlook appears promising, with sustainability and environmental consciousness playing pivotal roles in shaping market dynamics. Sales volumes have shown consistent growth, reaching 15,620 units in 2023, up from 15,120 units in 2022, indicating strong market momentum. Manufacturers are increasingly focusing on developing eco-friendly vehicles and implementing sustainable manufacturing practices. The integration of digital technologies, such as IoT and AI, is expected to further enhance the riding experience and operational efficiency, while stringent emission regulations continue to drive innovation in clean mobility solutions. The market share of two-wheelers, led by BMW Motorrad, highlights the competitive landscape and the strategic focus on sustainability.
South Africa Two-Wheeler Market Trends and Insights
South Africa is experiencing a steady rise in vehicle electrification across all segments, with future forecasts suggesting significant growth by 2030, emphasizing the nation's dedication to sustainable mobility, carbon emission reduction, and alignment with global electrification trends
- The automotive sector in South Africa is witnessing a notable push toward electrification. In the passenger cars segment, the electrification rate stood at 2% in 2022 and 4% in 2023. Light commercial vehicles' (LCVs) electrification percentage rose from 0.20% in 2022 to 1.09% in 2023. The medium and heavy-duty truck (M&HDT) category, though slower to adopt, initiated its foray into electrification in 2023, starting at a 0.10% rate. Buses, a vital component of public transportation, are transitioning as well, with their electrification rate forecasted to climb from 0.50% in 2022 to 1.96% in 2023.
- From 2017 to 2022, South Africa showcased a growing commitment to greener transportation. The electrification rate for passenger cars surged from 2% in 2017 to 5% by 2022. LCVs witnessed a similar trend, with their electrification rate expanding from 0.20% in 2017 to nearly 2% in 2022. While the M&HDT category remained largely untouched by electrification until 2022, it did exhibit a nascent interest, starting at a 0.10% rate. In contrast, the two-wheeler segment, known for its affordability, saw a significant jump in electrification, from 1.50% in 2017 to 7.81% in 2022.
- From 2024 to 2030, South Africa is poised for a steady surge in vehicle electrification across all segments. Projections indicate that by 2030, electrified passenger cars will make up 12% of the market. LCVs are expected to hit a 6% electrification rate, while the M&HDT segment is expected to expand its electric fleet, reaching 4% by 2030. Buses, crucial for sustainable urban mobility, are anticipated to achieve a 10% electrification rate by 2030. The two-wheeler segment, prized for its efficiency and affordability, is forecasted to make a significant leap, reaching a 22% electrification rate by 2030.
OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT
- South Africa's population growth, driven by factors like improved healthcare and economic conditions, is expected to continue steadily, reaching 68.34 million by 2030
- After significant fluctuations from 2017-2022, CVP in South Africa is projected to steadily rise from 2024-2030, driven by technological advancements, financing options, and a growing middle class.
- South Africa's auto interest rates experienced fluctuations, influenced by economic policies and global conditions, with a notable increase in 2022
- Downward trend in pack prices and promising future prospects
- Average Brent crude oil price increased from USD 79.75 to USD 84.78 in September 2023 due to tightening supply resulting from production cuts by Saudi Arabia
- GDP per capita on a steady growth trajectory, reaching USD 7,235.46 by 2030, driven by economic reforms and improved business conditions.
- Harnessing stability in inflation is pivotal for South Africa's prosperous economic future
- The South African EV charging station market is set to expand in line with sustainability goals
- South Africa's EV market is on the cusp of expansion with key investments and new model introductions setting the stage for a greener automotive landscape.
Segment Analysis: By Propulsion Type
ICE Segment in South Africa Two-Wheeler Market
The Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) segment continues to dominate the South African two-wheeler market, commanding approximately 93% market share in 2024. This substantial market presence can be attributed to several factors, including the well-established infrastructure for conventional fuel vehicles, lower initial purchase costs compared to electric two-wheelers, and the widespread availability of service networks. The segment's strength is further reinforced by consumer familiarity with ICE technology, proven reliability in diverse weather conditions, and the extensive range of models available across different price points. Additionally, the current limited charging infrastructure for electric vehicles in South Africa has helped maintain the ICE segment's dominant position, particularly in rural and semi-urban areas where traditional fuel stations are readily accessible.
Hybrid and Electric Vehicles Segment in South Africa Two-Wheeler Market
The Hybrid and Electric Vehicles segment is experiencing remarkable growth in the South African two-wheeler market, with an expected growth rate of approximately 41% during 2024-2029. This impressive growth trajectory is being driven by increasing environmental consciousness among consumers, government initiatives promoting clean mobility solutions, and declining battery costs making electric two-wheelers more affordable. The segment is also benefiting from technological advancements in battery technology, improved range capabilities, and the gradual expansion of charging infrastructure across major urban centers. Furthermore, rising fuel prices and growing urbanization are compelling consumers to consider electric alternatives, while manufacturers are introducing innovative features and models to cater to diverse consumer preferences and usage patterns, including the introduction of electric motorcycles and electric scooters.
Competitive Landscape
Top Companies in South Africa Two-Wheeler Market
The South African two-wheeler market is characterized by intense competition among established global manufacturers and emerging local players. Companies are actively pursuing product innovation through the introduction of advanced technologies, particularly in electric motorcycles and hybrid models, demonstrating their commitment to sustainable mobility solutions. Operational agility is evident in how manufacturers are adapting their production and distribution strategies to meet evolving consumer preferences and market demands. Strategic partnerships and collaborations, especially in the development of electric two-wheelers and charging infrastructure, have become increasingly common among major players. Market expansion efforts are focused on strengthening dealer networks, improving after-sales services, and establishing local assembly facilities to enhance market presence and reduce operational costs. Companies are also investing in digital transformation initiatives to streamline operations and enhance customer experience across all touchpoints.
Global Giants Dominate South African Market
The South African two-wheeler market exhibits a relatively concentrated structure dominated by established global manufacturers who leverage their extensive experience, technological capabilities, and strong brand recognition. These major players, including BMW Motorrad, Honda Motor Co., and KTM Motorcycles, maintain their market positions through comprehensive product portfolios catering to diverse consumer segments. The market demonstrates a mix of traditional motorcycle manufacturers and automotive conglomerates, with the latter bringing significant financial resources and cross-industry expertise to their two-wheeler operations. Local players, while present, primarily operate in specific market niches or serve as distributors for international brands.
The market has witnessed limited merger and acquisition activity, with companies preferring strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand their presence. These collaborations often focus on technology sharing, local assembly operations, and distribution network optimization. The competitive landscape is further shaped by the presence of premium segment specialists who maintain strong positions in their respective niches through brand equity and specialized product offerings. Market entry barriers remain significant due to established dealer networks, brand loyalty, and the capital-intensive nature of operations.
Innovation and Sustainability Drive Future Success
For incumbent players to maintain and expand their market share of two-wheelers, a multi-faceted approach combining product innovation, service excellence, and market adaptation is essential. Companies must focus on developing technologically advanced products while maintaining competitive pricing strategies to address the price-sensitive nature of the market. The establishment of robust after-sales networks, implementation of customer-centric initiatives, and investment in digital capabilities are becoming increasingly critical for success. Market leaders need to balance their traditional ICE vehicle offerings with growing investment in electric mobility solutions to maintain their competitive edge.
Emerging contenders can gain ground by identifying and serving underserved market segments, particularly in the growing electric two-wheeler space. Success factors include developing market-specific products that address local consumer needs, establishing strategic partnerships for technology and distribution, and building strong brand identities. The regulatory environment, particularly regarding emission standards and electric vehicle incentives, will play a crucial role in shaping competitive strategies. Companies must also address the growing consumer preference for sustainable mobility solutions while managing the risk of substitution from alternative transportation modes. The ability to navigate these challenges while maintaining operational efficiency and product innovation will determine long-term success in the market.
South Africa Two-Wheeler Industry Leaders
-
BMW Motorrad
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Harley-Davidson
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Honda Motor Co. Ltd.
-
KTM Motorcycles
-
Yamaha Motor Company Limited
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- September 2023: KTM India launched the two all-new, single-cylinder Duke 390 and 250 motorcycles priced at USD 3,788.34 (INR 310,520) and USD 2,915.80 (INR 239,000), respectively.
- August 2023: KTM has agreed on a new deal with Brad Binder to retain him as a factory MotoGP rider through the end of 2026.
- July 2023: Harley-Davidson spinoff LiveWire unveiled its second motorcycle that can achieve speeds of 103 MPH.
South Africa Two-Wheeler Market Report Scope
Hybrid and Electric Vehicles, ICE are covered as segments by Propulsion Type. South Africa are covered as segments by Country.| Hybrid and Electric Vehicles |
| ICE |
| South Africa |
| Propulsion Type | Hybrid and Electric Vehicles |
| ICE | |
| Country | South Africa |
Market Definition
- Vehicle Type - The category covers motorized two-wheelers.
- Vehicle Body Type - This includes Scooters and Motorcycles, while Kick-scooters and Bicycles are excluded.
- Fuel Category - Coverage extends to vehicles powered by Internal Combustion Engines (ICE) and electric propulsion systems.
| Keyword | Definition |
|---|---|
| Electric Vehicle (EV) | A vehicle which uses one or more electric motors for propulsion. Includes cars, buses, and trucks. This term includes all-electric vehicles or battery electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles. |
| BEV | A BEV relies completely on a battery and a motor for propulsion. The battery in the vehicle must be charged by plugging it into an outlet or public charging station. BEVs do not have an ICE and hence are pollution-free. They have a low cost of operation and reduced engine noise as compared to conventional fuel engines. However, they have a shorter range and higher prices than their equivalent gasoline models. |
| PEV | A plug-in electric vehicle is an electric vehicle that can be externally charged and generally includes all-electric vehicles as well as plug-in hybrids. |
| Plug-in Hybrid EV | A vehicle that can be powered either by an ICE or an electric motor. In contrast to normal hybrid EVs, they can be charged externally. |
| Internal combustion engine | An engine in which the burning of fuels occurs in a confined space called a combustion chamber. Usually run with gasoline/petrol or diesel. |
| Hybrid EV | A vehicle powered by an ICE in combination with one or more electric motors that use energy stored in batteries. These are continually recharged with power from the ICE and regenerative braking. |
| Commercial Vehicles | Commercial vehicles are motorized road vehicles designed for transporting people or goods. The category includes light commercial vehicles (LCVs) and medium and heavy-duty vehicles (M&HCV). |
| Passenger Vehicles | Passenger cars are electric motor– or engine-driven vehicles with at least four wheels. These vehicles are used for the transport of passengers and comprise no more than eight seats in addition to the driver’s seat. |
| Light Commercial Vehicles | Commercial vehicles that weigh less than 6,000 lb (Class 1) and in the range of 6,001–10,000 lb (Class 2) are covered under this category. |
| M&HDT | Commercial vehicles that weigh in the range of 10,001–14,000 lb (Class 3), 14,001–16,000 lb (Class 4), 16,001–19,500 lb (Class 5), 19,501–26,000 lb (Class 6), 26,001–33,000 lb (Class 7) and above 33,001 lb (Class 8) are covered under this category. |
| Bus | A mode of transportation that typically refers to a large vehicle designed to carry passengers over long distances. This includes transit bus, school bus, shuttle bus, and trolleybuses. |
| Diesel | It includes vehicles that use diesel as their primary fuel. A diesel engine vehicle have a compression-ignited injection system rather than the spark-ignited system used by most gasoline vehicles. In such vehicles, fuel is injected into the combustion chamber and ignited by the high temperature achieved when gas is greatly compressed. |
| Gasoline | It includes vehicles that use gas/petrol as their primary fuel. A gasoline car typically uses a spark-ignited internal combustion engine. In such vehicles, fuel is injected into either the intake manifold or the combustion chamber, where it is combined with air, and the air/fuel mixture is ignited by the spark from a spark plug. |
| LPG | It includes vehicles that use LPG as their primary fuel. Both dedicated and bi-fuel LPG vehicles are considered under the scope of the study. |
| CNG | It includes vehicles that use CNG as their primary fuel. These are vehicles that operate like gasoline-powered vehicles with spark-ignited internal combustion engines. |
| HEV | All the electric vehicles that use batteries and an internal combustion engine (ICE) as their primary source for propulsion are considered under this category. HEVs generally use a diesel-electric powertrain and are also known as hybrid diesel-electric vehicles. An HEV converts the vehicle momentum (kinetic energy) into electricity that recharges the battery when the vehicle slows down or stops. The battery of HEV cannot be charged using plug-in devices. |
| PHEV | PHEVs are powered by a battery as well as an ICE. The battery can be charged through either regenerative breaking using the ICE or by plugging into some external charging source. PHEVs have a better range than BEVs but are comparatively less eco-friendly. |
| Hatchback | These are compact-sized cars with a hatch-type door provided at the rear end. |
| Sedan | These are usually two- or four-door passenger cars, with a separate area provided at the rear end for luggage. |
| SUV | Popularly known as SUVs, these cars come with four-wheel drive, and usually have high ground clearance. These cars can also be used as off-road vehicles. |
| MPV | These are multi-purpose vehicles (also called minivans) designed to carry a larger number of passengers. They carry between five and seven people and have room for luggage too. They are usually taller than the average family saloon car, to provide greater headroom and ease of access, and they are usually front-wheel drive. |
Research Methodology
Mordor Intelligence follows a four-step methodology in all its reports.
- Step-1: Identify Key Variables: To build a robust forecasting methodology, the variables and factors identified in Step-1 are tested against available historical market numbers. Through an iterative process, the variables required for market forecast are set and the model is built based on these variables.
- Step-2: Build a Market Model: Market-size estimations for the historical and forecast years have been provided in revenue and volume terms. Market revenue is calculated by multiplying the sales volume with their respective average selling price (ASP). While estimating ASP factors like average inflation, market demand shift, manufacturing cost, technological advancement, and varying consumer preference, among others have been taken into account.
- Step-3: Validate and Finalize: In this important step, all market numbers, variables, and analyst calls are validated through an extensive network of primary research experts from the market studied. The respondents are selected across levels and functions to generate a holistic picture of the market studied.
- Step-4: Research Outputs: Syndicated Reports, Custom Consulting Assignments, Databases & Subscription Platforms.
