South Africa Rooftop Solar Market Size (2024 - 2029)

The South Africa Rooftop Solar Market is projected to experience significant growth over the forecast period, driven by increased government support and decreasing costs of solar panel systems. Despite the initial negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the market has rebounded to pre-pandemic levels. The demand for reliable power sources, exacerbated by frequent blackouts, presents opportunities for market expansion. However, the high costs associated with solar rooftop systems and the need for battery storage may pose challenges to market growth.

Market Size of South Africa Rooftop Solar Industry

South Africa Rooftop Solar Market Summary
Study Period 2021 - 2029
Base Year For Estimation 2023
Market Volume (2024) 2.14 gigawatt
Market Volume (2029) 3.15 gigawatt
CAGR (2024 - 2029) 8.04 %
Market Concentration Medium

Major Players

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*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

South Africa Rooftop Solar Market Analysis

The South Africa Rooftop Solar Market size is estimated at 2.14 gigawatt in 2024, and is expected to reach 3.15 gigawatt by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 8.04% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

Although the market studied was negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, it has recovered and reached pre-pandemic levels. The growing government support and falling cost of rooftop solar panels purchase, installation, and maintenance are expected to support the uptake of solar PV and associated systems in South Africa, driving the solar rooftop PV market's growth in the country during the forecast period. However, the high cost of solar rooftop systems and the associated need for batteries for electricity storage are expected to restrain the market's growth.

The increasing blackouts in the country are leading to the electricity crisis. Increasing demand for continuous power is expected to create several opportunities for the market players in South Africa to bridge the supply and demand gap.

South Africa Rooftop Solar Industry Segmentation

Rooftop solar PV is a photovoltaic system with electricity-generating solar panels mounted on the rooftop of a commercial or residential building. It captures the sun's light energy and converts it into electrical energy.

The rooftop solar PV installations market is segmented by end user. By end user, the market is segmented into residential and commercial and industrial. For each segment, the market sizing and forecasts have been done based on installed capacity (MW).

By End User
Residential
Commercial and Industrial
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South Africa Rooftop Solar Market Size Summary

The rooftop solar market in South Africa is poised for significant growth, driven by increasing government support and decreasing costs associated with solar panel purchase, installation, and maintenance. Despite the initial setbacks due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the market has rebounded to pre-pandemic levels. The ongoing electricity crisis, characterized by frequent blackouts, has heightened the demand for reliable power sources, creating opportunities for market players to expand their offerings. The commercial and industrial sectors, which account for a substantial portion of rooftop solar installations, are expected to lead this growth. These sectors benefit from the high energy costs associated with their operations, making solar PV systems an attractive alternative to traditional grid supply and diesel generators. The South African government's commitment to increasing renewable energy capacity, alongside initiatives like the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producers Program, has further bolstered the market's prospects.

South Africa's geographical advantage, with its high solar irradiation levels, positions it as a promising market for solar energy expansion. The government's efforts to promote rooftop solar systems are part of a broader strategy to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 and significantly increase the share of renewable energy in the national grid. This push is particularly relevant in the context of the country's energy challenges, including planned power cuts and the need for energy security in remote areas. The mining industry and indigenous communities are also turning to solar PV solutions to meet their energy needs. As a result, the rooftop solar market is expected to grow steadily, supported by both policy initiatives and the natural advantages of the region. Key players in the market, such as GENERGY and JA Solar Holdings, are likely to play a crucial role in this expansion, contributing to the overall development of solar energy infrastructure in South Africa.

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South Africa Rooftop Solar Market Size - Table of Contents

  1. 1. MARKET OVERVIEW

    1. 1.1 Introduction

    2. 1.2 Installed Capacity and Forecast in MW, till 2027

    3. 1.3 Recent Trends and Developments

    4. 1.4 Government Policies and Regulations

    5. 1.5 Market Dynamics

      1. 1.5.1 Drivers

      2. 1.5.2 Restraints

    6. 1.6 Supply Chain Analysis

    7. 1.7 PESTLE Analysis

  2. 2. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 2.1 By End User

      1. 2.1.1 Residential

      2. 2.1.2 Commercial and Industrial

South Africa Rooftop Solar Market Size FAQs

The South Africa Rooftop Solar Market size is expected to reach 2.14 gigawatt in 2024 and grow at a CAGR of 8.04% to reach 3.15 gigawatt by 2029.

In 2024, the South Africa Rooftop Solar Market size is expected to reach 2.14 gigawatt.

Rooftop Solar in South Africa Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)