Poland Freight and Logistics Market SIZE & SHARE ANALYSIS - GROWTH TRENDS & FORECASTS UP TO 2030

Poland Freight and Logistics Market Analysis

The Poland Freight and Logistics Market size is estimated at 52.05 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 59.62 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 2.75% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

Poland's freight and logistics sector is experiencing significant transformation through substantial infrastructure investments and modernization initiatives. As of 2024, the country is witnessing unprecedented development in its transportation network, with three major road contracts progressing simultaneously, representing a combined investment of over USD 550 million. The largest of these projects involves two crucial sections of the S10 expressway in West Pomerania, spanning 35.6 kilometers and connecting key economic regions. These infrastructure developments are strategically positioned to enhance the country's logistics capabilities and improve cross-border connectivity.

The logistics landscape in Poland is increasingly characterized by the adoption of advanced delivery solutions and network optimization strategies. A notable example is the extensive network of pickup-dropoff (PUDO) lockers, with major logistics providers operating approximately 30,000 locations throughout Poland, offering flexible delivery options for businesses and consumers alike. This infrastructure development has enabled logistics companies to achieve remarkable efficiency metrics, with leading providers reporting next-day delivery success rates of up to 98% for domestic shipments, demonstrating the market's growing sophistication and operational excellence in the Poland logistics market.

The market is witnessing a surge in strategic partnerships and collaborative initiatives aimed at enhancing service offerings and operational efficiency. In October 2024, a significant partnership emerged between Poland's second-largest online marketplace and a major logistics provider, exemplifying the industry's move toward integrated logistics solutions. This collaboration has resulted in the launch of specialized courier services designed to optimize delivery networks and improve last-mile delivery efficiency, particularly benefiting small and medium-sized enterprises in the region.

Infrastructure development continues to be a key focus area, with significant progress in expanding Poland's transportation network. The ongoing construction of the S10 expressway, including the 19.6-kilometer Suchan-Recz section and the 16-kilometer Piecnik-Walcz connection, represents a strategic enhancement of the country's logistics infrastructure. Additionally, the USD 158.48 million contract for Section 3 of the S10 expressway, connecting Szczecin to Pila, is set for completion by 2027, demonstrating Poland's long-term commitment to developing robust logistics corridors that will support future growth in freight and logistics operations.

Poland Freight and Logistics Market Trends

Rapid growth of transport and storage sector GDP contribution witnessed despite delays in construction of a few projects

• In April 2024, the construction of a highway in Poland faced a year-long delay, impacting the sector's contribution to GDP. This setback came after archaeologists unearthed traces of settlements, some dating back 10,000 years, alongside artifacts from the Bronze and Iron Ages. Poland's General Directorate for National Roads and Motorways (GDDKiA) revealed that these significant discoveries occurred at two sites near the village of Jawiszowice. The findings emerged during the ongoing work on the S1 expressway in the southern Małopolska province.
• In July 2024, Poland's GDDKiA announced an investment of USD 4.74 billion for road development, upgrades, and maintenance throughout the year. Among the recent contracts awarded, GDDKiA has greenlit a 17 km segment of the S17 expressway, valued at USD 192.36 million. Furthermore, a separate package worth USD 140.60 million has been allocated for roadworks in West Pomerania. Upcoming projects include the Rusinov Ring Road and a segment of the S10 Cybowo-Łowicz Wałecki Expressway. These undertakings, which encompass the construction of 16 bridges, aim to alleviate local traffic delays and are slated for completion in 2028.

Fluctuating fuel prices with stabilization expected due to discovery of oil field in Poland

• In September 2024, PKN Orlen, Poland's largest refiner and energy firm, unearthed a significant oil field in western Poland. Located in the Lubuskie region, the newly discovered oil field sits adjacent to the existing Rzeczyca field, which boasts reserves of 100,000 metric tons of oil. Collectively, the entire complex is now projected to contain 500,000 metric tons of oil. Once fully developed, the site is set to yield an annual production of 16,500 metric tons of oil. Preliminary tests at the site suggest a strong likelihood of additional oil deposit discoveries. This development is anticipated to curtail Poland's fuel imports in the future.
• The new tariff regarding fuel transmission has recently been under discussion, and Tariff No. 1/2025 will take effect on January 1, 2025. The President of the Energy Regulatory Office approved it on June 3, 2024. This tariff applies to the transmission of gaseous fuels through the Polish section of the Yamal-Europe Transit Gas Pipeline. The tariff rates will be valid from January 1, 2025, at 6:00 a.m. until January 1, 2026, at 6:00 a.m. It aims to stabilize fuel prices in Poland.

OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT

• Poland's population is expected to decline significantly, with the 50-60 age group becoming crucial for the labor market by 2050
• Poland plans to invest over USD 14 billion in its first nuclear power plant between 2025 and 2030
• Orlen's new oil field discovery is expected to boost production and yield 16,500 tons of oil annually
• Rising inflation rate growth trend witnessed since 2022 in Poland, with 3rd highest rate achieved in 2024
• Poland's e-commerce industry is expected to grow significantly, driven by rising income and mobile shopping trends
• Poland's battery industry faces uncertainty due to new EU regulations and increasing competition from other nations
• Poland's exports are expected to double by 2030, driven by technological advancements
• Poland targets 56% renewable energy by 2030 and reducing its dependence on imported gas
• Poland's trucking sector faces rising costs and insolvency risks due to the Mobility Package regulations
• Electric trucks are expected to be more cost-effective than diesel, driving essential electrification in Poland
• Rising infrastructure development focus is improving the overall LPI rank of Poland
• Scania leads the truck market in Q1 2024, while alternative fuel vehicles remain a small segment
• Rising volumes witnessed across all modes supported by new infrastructure
• The maritime fleet capacity is expanding due to the increasing integration of new LNG carriers
• Poland's connectivity improved significantly in 2024, aided by a new maritime route between Sweden and Poland
• Rising port volumes and cargo handling capacities driving economic growth
• Increasing initiatives are encouraging a transition from road to rail, as rail transport offers more cost-effective solutions for freight
• Rising infrastructure projects for all modes of transport boosting freight volumes across Poland
• Infrastructure development is leading to increased cargo handling capacity and efficiency

Segment Analysis: End User Industry

Manufacturing Segment in Poland Freight and Logistics Market

The manufacturing sector represents the largest segment in Poland's logistics market in Poland, driven by the country's position as a major manufacturing hub in Central Europe. Poland's strategic location, well-developed industrial infrastructure, and strong automotive, machinery, and electronics manufacturing sectors contribute significantly to freight and logistics demand. The segment's dominance is supported by Poland's role in global supply chains, particularly in automotive parts, household appliances, and industrial machinery production. The presence of numerous manufacturing clusters around major cities like Warsaw, WrocBaw, and PoznaD has created substantial demand for logistics services, including warehousing, transportation, and supply chain management solutions.

Wholesale and Retail Trade Segment in Poland Freight and Logistics Market

The wholesale and retail trade segment is experiencing the fastest growth in Poland's logistics market in Poland, primarily driven by the rapid expansion of e-commerce and digital retail platforms. This growth is supported by changing consumer behaviors, increased digital adoption, and the development of sophisticated last-mile delivery networks. The segment's expansion is further accelerated by investments in modern warehousing facilities, automated sorting centers, and the implementation of advanced logistics technologies. International retailers and e-commerce platforms are increasingly choosing Poland as their regional distribution hub, contributing to the segment's robust growth trajectory.

Remaining Segments in End User Industry

The other segments in Poland's freight and logistics market include agriculture, fishing, and forestry; construction; oil and gas, mining and quarrying; and various other industries. The agricultural sector maintains steady demand for specialized logistics services, particularly in cold chain logistics for perishable goods. The construction segment's logistics requirements are closely tied to infrastructure development projects and real estate growth. The oil and gas, mining, and quarrying sector demands specialized transportation and storage solutions for heavy equipment and materials. These diverse segments collectively contribute to the market's overall dynamics and require tailored logistics solutions to meet their specific needs.

Segment Analysis: Logistics Function

Freight Transport Segment in Poland Freight and Logistics Market

The Freight Transport segment maintains its position as the dominant force in Poland's freight and logistics market in 2024, encompassing various transportation modes including road, rail, air, sea, and pipeline services. This segment's strength is primarily driven by Poland's strategic location as a key transit country between Eastern and Western Europe, extensive road network, and growing industrial base. The segment benefits from significant investments in transport infrastructure, particularly in the road and rail networks, enhancing the country's logistics capabilities. Poland's membership in the European Union continues to facilitate cross-border trade, while the country's robust manufacturing sector generates substantial freight volumes, further solidifying this segment's market leadership.

CEP (Courier, Express, and Parcel) Segment in Poland Freight and Logistics Market

The Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) segment emerges as the fastest-growing sector in Poland's freight and logistics market for the forecast period 2024-2029. This remarkable growth is primarily fueled by the explosive expansion of e-commerce activities, changing consumer preferences towards online shopping, and the increasing demand for last-mile delivery services. The segment's growth is further accelerated by technological advancements in delivery systems, including automated sorting facilities, route optimization software, and the integration of artificial intelligence in logistics operations. The rise of same-day and next-day delivery services, coupled with the growing adoption of mobile commerce platforms, continues to drive the segment's expansion in both urban and rural areas.

Remaining Segments in Logistics Function

The other significant segments in Poland's logistics function market include Freight Forwarding, Warehousing and Storage, and Other Services, each playing crucial roles in the country's logistics ecosystem. The Freight Forwarding segment benefits from Poland's growing international trade relations and its role as a key logistics hub in Central Europe. The Warehousing and Storage segment continues to evolve with the integration of advanced warehouse management systems and automation technologies, while also adapting to the growing demand for specialized storage solutions, including temperature-controlled facilities. The Other Services segment encompasses value-added services such as customs clearance, supply chain consulting, and logistics technology solutions, contributing to the market's overall sophistication and service diversity.