North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market SIZE & SHARE ANALYSIS - GROWTH TRENDS & FORECASTS UP TO 2030

North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market Analysis

The North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market size is estimated at 0.86 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 1.19 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.87% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

The North American non-dairy ice cream industry is experiencing a significant transformation driven by evolving consumer health consciousness and dietary preferences. Modern consumers are increasingly seeking healthier alternatives to traditional dairy products, with plant-based ice cream gaining prominence due to its lower caloric content. This shift is particularly evident in the nutritional comparison between traditional and plant-based options, where unsweetened coconut milk provides approximately 39 calories per serving compared to 60 calories in traditional dairy milk. The growing health awareness is further amplified by rising obesity concerns, with recent statistics indicating that 41.9% of the US population was classified as obese in 2022, driving consumers toward healthier frozen dessert alternatives.

The distribution landscape for non-dairy ice cream is undergoing a notable evolution, particularly in the digital sphere. The market has witnessed a significant shift toward online retail channels, with convenience being the primary motivation for 61.1% of shoppers who have transitioned to online grocery shopping. This digital transformation is supported by increasing technological adoption, with smartphone users growing by 11 million between 2020 and 2021, and approximately 45% of the population now regularly browsing online retail websites through mobile devices. The integration of digital platforms has enabled brands to reach a wider consumer base while offering personalized shopping experiences.

Consumer consumption patterns reveal a strong preference for at-home consumption of plant-based ice cream products, with 93% of plant-based dairy consumption occurring within households compared to only 7% in restaurants and foodservice outlets. This trend has led to a robust off-trade retail channel development, while the on-trade segment remains relatively underdeveloped. Plant-based frozen dessert foods represent less than 1% of all foods distributed to foodservice outlets, indicating significant growth potential in the foodservice sector. The market has responded to these consumption patterns by expanding product availability across various retail channels and developing innovative packaging solutions suitable for home consumption.

The market's pricing strategy has evolved to accommodate diverse consumer segments, with products available across various price points ranging from USD 4.84 to USD 100. This wide price range reflects the market's maturity and segmentation, catering to both value-conscious consumers and premium product seekers. Manufacturers are investing in product innovation and quality improvements to justify premium pricing while maintaining competitive options in the value segment. The availability of products across different price points has contributed to market accessibility and growth, allowing consumers to choose products that align with their budget preferences while still accessing dairy-free ice cream alternatives.

North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market Trends

The rising awareness regarding the consequences of obesity is largely driving the North American non-dairy ice cream market.

• Non-dairy ice creams are gaining popularity among consumers because of the rise in the flexitarian, lactose intolerant, or strict vegan populations. In 2022, the US non-dairy ice cream market witnessed a growth of 14.2% compared to 2021. The growth was attributed to the rising awareness about the consequences of obesity. Hence, their preference and consumption of non-fat or less-fat food products significantly increased. The region also observed a growth in its obesity percentage in 2020. In Canada, obesity rates in Canadian adults were higher in men than women (28.0% versus 24.7%, respectively) in 2020.
• The fat percentage in plant-based milk is comparatively lower than in animal-based milk. One plant-based milk, coconut milk, has fat content significantly lesser than animal-based milk, as one cup (8 oz or 240 mL) of unsweetened coconut milk provides 39 calories. Unsweetened hemp milk (made from water and hulled hemp seed) provides about 60 calories in a one-cup serving.
• The region has also witnessed a growth in the volume of lactose-intolerant population. In 2022, in the United States, 15% of adult Caucasians and 85% of African Americans were lactose intolerant. Consumers are even changing to a vegetarian diet to avoid the consequences of the corresponding disease. In January 2022, 10% of Americans over the age of 18 considered themselves to be lactose intolerant.
• In the North American region, non-dairy ice creams are available at different prices, promoting the affordability factor for consumers. In the United States, plant-based ice creams are available from USD 2.14 to over USD 70.5. Non-dairy ice creams are also available in different flavors, including vanilla and chocolate.

OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT

Segment Analysis: Distribution Channel

Supermarkets and Hypermarkets Segment in North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market

Supermarkets and hypermarkets continue to dominate the North American non-dairy ice cream market, commanding approximately 83% of the total market share in 2024. This channel's dominance is attributed to the extensive variety of plant-based ice cream brands and flavors available under one roof, coupled with attractive promotional offers and bulk purchase discounts. Major retail chains like Walmart, Kroger, Costco, and Albertsons have significantly expanded their plant-based ice cream sections to cater to growing consumer demand. These retailers provide customers with comprehensive product information, competitive pricing, and frequent promotional schemes that drive consumer preference. The widespread network of supermarkets and hypermarkets across North America, combined with their sophisticated cold chain infrastructure, ensures consistent product availability and quality maintenance, further strengthening their market position.

Online Retail Segment in North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market

The online retail channel is experiencing remarkable growth in the North American non-dairy ice cream market, with an expected year-over-year growth of approximately 28% during 2024-2029. This explosive growth is driven by increasing consumer preference for convenient shopping options and the expanding e-commerce infrastructure. Major retailers have enhanced their digital platforms with user-friendly interfaces, efficient delivery systems, and specialized storage solutions for frozen products. The segment's growth is further fueled by the rising number of smartphone users and the integration of advanced technologies in online shopping platforms. Convenience is cited as the primary motivation for over 61% of shoppers who have transitioned to purchasing more groceries online, with mobile devices accounting for nearly 45% of online browsing activities.

Remaining Segments in Distribution Channel

The remaining distribution channels, including convenience stores, specialist retailers, and other outlets like warehouse clubs and gas stations, play vital complementary roles in the market. Convenience stores serve as crucial points for impulse purchases and quick shopping needs, particularly in urban areas. Specialist retailers differentiate themselves by offering unique and premium dairy-free ice cream varieties, often focusing on specific dietary requirements or artisanal products. The "others" category, encompassing warehouse clubs, gas stations, and various unorganized vendors, serves specific consumer segments with bulk purchases and on-the-go consumption needs. These channels collectively contribute to market diversity and accessibility, ensuring frozen non-dairy dessert products reach various consumer segments through multiple touchpoints.

North America Non-dairy Ice Cream Market Geography Segment Analysis

Non-dairy Ice Cream Market in the United States

The United States dominates the North American non-dairy ice cream market, commanding approximately 95% market share in 2024. The market's robust performance is driven by the increasing health consciousness and dietary preferences of American consumers. The country's strong position is supported by the presence of six out of the top 19 vegan ice cream product manufacturers being established in the United States. The market is particularly influenced by the significant proportion of lactose-intolerant consumers, with over 30 million US citizens being lactose intolerant. The availability of dairy-free ice cream at varied price points, ranging from USD 4.54 to USD 85, has helped capture diverse consumer segments. Both on-trade and off-trade retailers contribute to the market's strength, with supermarkets and hypermarkets holding a dominant position in distribution. The market's growth is further supported by the increasing obesity rates and growing consumer awareness about the health impacts of traditional dairy products.

Non-dairy Ice Cream Market in Mexico

Mexico represents the most dynamic market in the region, with a projected growth rate of approximately 13% during 2024-2029. The country's non-dairy ice cream market is experiencing rapid evolution driven by increasing health consciousness among Mexican consumers. With 75% of the adult population being either obese or overweight, there is a growing shift towards healthier dietary alternatives. The market is characterized by a strong retail presence through major chains like Soriana, Chedraui, Comercial Mexicana, Bodega Aurrera, and Mega. The convenience store sector plays a crucial role, holding over 27% of the nation's retail space. The market's expansion is further supported by rising cases of lactose intolerance, with 48% of consumers affected. Mexican consumers are increasingly embracing plant-based ice cream alternatives, particularly appreciating options made from almond milk, which provides significantly fewer calories compared to traditional dairy products.

Non-dairy Ice Cream Market in Canada

Canada's non-dairy ice cream market demonstrates strong potential, driven by changing consumer preferences and increasing health consciousness. The market is particularly influenced by the high prevalence of lactose intolerance, with 59% of the population being lactose intolerant. Canadian consumers show a strong preference for purchasing through off-trade channels, with supermarkets and hypermarkets dominating the retail landscape. The country's market is well-supported by established retail infrastructure, with over 15,193 supermarkets including popular chains like Loblaw, Metro, Sobeys, and Safeway. These retailers offer a wide selection of both imported and locally manufactured products. The market's growth is further enhanced by increasing consumer awareness of health benefits associated with lactose-free ice cream products and continuous product development efforts by manufacturers.

Non-dairy Ice Cream Market in Other Countries

The frozen dessert market in other North American territories shows varying degrees of development and potential. These markets are characterized by growing awareness of plant-based alternatives and increasing health consciousness among consumers. The retail landscape in these regions is evolving to accommodate the growing demand for vegan ice cream options, with both international and local players expanding their presence. Consumer preferences in these markets are increasingly influenced by global trends towards healthier lifestyle choices and environmental consciousness. The distribution networks are continuously developing, with modern retail formats gaining prominence. These markets also benefit from the spillover effects of innovations and marketing strategies implemented in the larger markets of the region.

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