North America Cafes & Bars Market SIZE & SHARE ANALYSIS - GROWTH TRENDS & FORECASTS UP TO 2030

North America Cafes & Bars Market Analysis

The North America Cafes & Bars Market size is estimated at 132.6 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 235.2 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 12.14% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

The North American café and bar industry is experiencing a significant transformation driven by evolving consumer preferences and changing beverage consumption patterns. Coffee shop culture remains a dominant force in the market, with 64% of American adults consuming coffee daily, surpassing all other beverages, including water. The rise of specialty coffee shop culture has led to a decline in traditional coffee consumption, particularly among younger consumers aged 18-30 years. This shift has prompted establishments to diversify their beverage offerings and invest in premium brewing equipment and techniques. The industry has also witnessed a surge in bubble tea popularity, with adoption rates showing interesting gender dynamics 95% of women have tried bubble tea compared to 81% of men.

The market structure continues to evolve with a notable preference for independent establishments over chain operations. Independent outlets have established a strong presence, accounting for 60.49% of the market value in 2022, driven by their ability to offer personalized experiences and locally-sourced products. These establishments prioritize high-quality coffee, often sourcing beans from regional or specialized roasters and employing traditional brewing techniques. Many independent coffee shop cafes are also embracing the micro-roasting trend, with establishments like Try Hard Coffee Roasters and Camber Coffee operating their own roasteries to ensure quality control and unique flavor profiles.

The craft beverage movement has emerged as a significant trend, particularly in the bars and pubs segment. Craft brewers have made substantial inroads into the market, with volume sales increasing by 8% in 2021, capturing 13.1% of the US beer market. This growth reflects consumers' increasing preference for unique and locally-produced beverages. Establishments are responding by expanding their craft beverage selections and creating distinctive drinking experiences. The trend extends beyond beer, with many venues now offering craft cocktails, specialty spirits, and innovative non-alcoholic alternatives to cater to diverse consumer preferences.

The hospitality industry is witnessing a technological transformation in service delivery and customer engagement. Major chains and independent establishments alike are investing in digital ordering systems, mobile apps, and loyalty programs to enhance customer experience. The integration of Wi-Fi services has become particularly crucial, with approximately 53% of cafes now offering connected facilities to cater to remote workers and digital nomads. Establishments are also adapting their physical spaces to accommodate changing consumer behaviors, with many venues creating dedicated areas for remote work while maintaining social spaces for traditional café and bar culture. This dual-purpose approach has helped venues maintain steady customer traffic throughout different times of the day.

North America Cafes & Bars Market Trends

Canadian coffee shops and bars offer a variety of personalized and unique dining experiences, from quick and convenient to leisurely and relaxing

• The number of cafes and bars increased by around 1,200 from 2019 to 2022. The number of franchisee establishments is increasing in the country as the companies are expanding their footprint. The number of franchisee outlets increased by more than 4,000 each year during the review period. The number of cafes and bars reached more than 13,278 restaurants in 2022. This number is projected to record an average Y-o-Y growth rate of 5.4% during the forecast period.
• Cafes and bars accounted for the third-largest share in terms of the number of outlets in 2022. Standalone cafes and bars can be found in a variety of settings, from urban neighborhoods to suburban strip malls and rural areas. They offer a range of coffee, including latte, cappuccino, Americano, and espresso. In the first quarter of 2023, the key players of coffee chains with the maximum number of outlets were Tim Hortons (3,568 outlets), Starbucks (1,417 outlets), McCafe (1,400 restaurants), and the popular bars were Civil Liberties and Botanist, offering different types of wine, craft beer, vodka, and mocktails/cocktails. These bars also provide a convenient and fast dining experience that is personalized and unique.
• An average person in Canada consumes almost three cups of coffee per day, thus increasing the number of orders per day, which reached around 114 orders per day in 2022. In the same year, the consumption of cappuccinos and lattes increased by 30% in Canada, thus boosting coffee sales and encouraging outlets to expand to cater to consumer demand.

Rising prices and increased demand boost revenues at cafes and bars

• The consumption and price of coffee steadily rose over the review period. Americans' preference for coffee has grown over the last decade. Since 2015, coffee consumption in the United States has increased by 5-10%. Around 60% of Americans drink coffee daily. American women spent an average of USD 2,325 per year on coffee, and American men spent around USD 1,920 per year. Also, cafes are expanding their menus or specialty drinks that are more expensive than traditional coffee or tea. The increasing popularity of third-wave coffee shops, which focus on premium coffee and artisanal brewing techniques, has contributed to the growth of specialty coffee.
• Thus, the average order value for cafes and bars increased by 16.33% from 2017 to 2022. The rising inflation rate increased by an average of 3-4% from 2017 to 2022, and the number of orders per year increased by 41.11% from 2020 to 2022. Popular coffee and drinks preferred by Americans include Cappuccino (USD 4.5 per cup), Latte (USD 5 per cup), Americano (USD 3.8 per cup), Hot Chocolate (4.75 per cup), Orange Juice (USD 6.5 per glass), Craft Beer (USD 11 per 16 oz), Wine (USD 10 per glass), Cocktails (USD 15 per glass of 1.5 oz), and Whiskey (USD 14 per peg).
• In the United States, alcohol sales increased by 22.4% in 2022 compared to 2020, of which more than 50% of sales were generated through bars, pubs, and nightclubs. Consumers in the country prefer local tastes and are willing to pay more for premium-crafted beers. Thus, the bars & pubs segment is likely to remain strong during the forecast period.

OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT

Segment Analysis: By Cuisine

Cafes Segment in North America Cafes & Bars Market

The cafes segment dominates the North American cafes & bars market, holding approximately 50% market share in 2024. This significant market position is primarily driven by the high consumption of coffee in the region, especially in the United States. The segment's strong performance is attributed to the increasing demand for various coffee beverages, including cappuccino, Americano, and latte, with around 64% of American adults consuming coffee daily. Independent café outlets contribute substantially to this segment's dominance, particularly in urban areas where they prioritize high-quality coffee sourcing from regional or specialized roasters. The segment's growth is further supported by the expanding coffee shop culture across metropolitan cities, with operators focusing on innovative brewing techniques and diverse menu offerings to cater to evolving consumer preferences.

Specialist Coffee & Tea Shops Segment in North America Cafes & Bars Market

The specialty coffee shop segment is projected to exhibit the strongest growth in the North American cafes & bars market, with an estimated CAGR of approximately 15% during 2024-2029. This remarkable growth is primarily driven by the increasing popularity of third-wave coffee shops, which focus on premium coffee and artisanal brewing techniques. The segment's expansion is supported by the rising demand for specialty coffee among consumers, with about 42% of coffee drinkers preferring specialty coffee. These establishments are increasingly offering alternative milk options, such as oat milk, almond milk, and soy milk, to cater to customers with dietary restrictions or preferences. The growth is further amplified by the increasing popularity of bubble tea shops, which are constantly innovating and introducing new flavors and ingredients to keep up with changing consumer preferences.

Remaining Segments in North America Cafes & Bars Market

The bars & pubs segment maintains a strong presence in the market, offering a diverse range of alcoholic beverages, including craft beers, premium spirits, and innovative cocktails. These establishments often host various events and provide unique social experiences that continue to attract customers. The juice/smoothie/desserts bars segment has carved out its niche by catering to health-conscious consumers and those seeking alternative beverage options. This segment has particularly benefited from the growing trend toward healthy lifestyles and the increasing demand for fresh, natural beverages and plant-based options. Both segments contribute significantly to the market's diversity by offering distinct experiences and meeting different consumer preferences and occasions.

Segment Analysis: By Outlet

Independent Outlets Segment in North American Cafes & Bars Market

Independent outlets dominate the North American cafes & bars market, holding approximately 60% market share in 2024. These establishments prioritize high-quality coffee, often sourcing their beans from regional or specialized roasters and employing traditional brewing techniques to deliver more flavorful and satisfying beverages. Local residents show a strong preference for these independent coffee shop due to their commitment to quality and emphasis on locally sourced products. The segment's success is driven by micro-roasters and artisanal coffee shops like Try Hard Coffee Roasters and Camber Coffee, which operate their own roasteries and offer diverse artisan coffee selections. Independent outlets are particularly successful due to their ability to provide personalized service, custom décor, and unique atmospheres that resonate with consumers seeking authentic experiences.

Chained Outlets Segment in North American Cafes & Bars Market

The chained outlets segment is experiencing robust growth in the North American cafes & bars market, with a projected growth rate of approximately 12% during 2024-2029. This growth is primarily driven by the strong presence of major coffee chains in the United States, including Starbucks, Dunkin', Peet's Coffee, and Caribou Coffee. These established chains are continuously innovating their menus with new coffee drink variations and expanding their footprint across the region. The segment's growth is further supported by the increasing consumer demand for specialty coffee and standardized quality across locations. Major chains are also investing in digital innovation, loyalty programs, and convenient beverage service options to enhance customer experience and maintain a competitive advantage in the market.

Segment Analysis: By Location

Standalone Segment in North American Cafes & Bars Market

The standalone segment dominates the North American cafes & bars market, accounting for approximately 72% market share in 2024. This significant market position is primarily driven by the high concentration of independent coffee shops and bars in densely populated urban areas across the United States and Canada. With rising coffee consumption in the region, several operators have launched independent coffee shops in high-traffic locations such as shopping districts and commercial areas. Major players like Starbucks and Tim Hortons have also expanded their standalone presence, with Starbucks operating over 6,600 standalone outlets and Tim Hortons maintaining 627 outlets. These establishments focus on providing unique dining experiences, diverse menu offerings, and convenient locations that cater to local preferences and daily consumer routines.

Lodging Segment in North American Cafes & Bars Market

The lodging segment is projected to exhibit the strongest growth in the North American cafes & bars market during 2024-2029, with an expected growth rate of approximately 16%. This remarkable growth is primarily attributed to the increasing international tourism in the region, particularly in the United States. The segment's expansion is further supported by the rising number of hotels and resorts incorporating premium coffee shops and specialized bars within their premises. These establishments are increasingly focusing on providing unique dining experiences, with many hotels featuring rooftop cafés that offer a variety of coffee options and regional delicacies. The trend is particularly evident in luxury hotels and resorts across Canada, including The Ritz-Carlton, Fairmont Banff Springs, and Niagara Falls Marriott, which have integrated high-end cafés and bars as essential amenities for their guests.

Remaining Segments in Location-based Market

The retail, travel, and leisure segments each play distinct roles in shaping the North American cafes & bars market landscape. The retail segment is characterized by cafes and bars operating within shopping malls, supermarkets, and retail centers, offering convenient dining options for shoppers. The travel segment encompasses establishments in airports, railway stations, and highways, catering to travelers with quick service and convenient offerings. The leisure segment includes cafes and bars in entertainment venues, amusement parks, and recreational facilities, where these establishments enhance the overall visitor experience by providing refreshment options. Each of these segments contributes to the market's diversity by serving specific consumer needs and preferences in different locations.

North America Cafes & Bars Market Geography Segment Analysis

Cafes & Bars Market in United States

The United States dominates the North American cafes and bars market, commanding approximately 69% of the total market value in 2024. The market's robust performance is driven by the growing popularity of pub culture and increasing demand for premium alcoholic beverages. The tendency to socialize in pubs and entertainment venues remains high among Americans, with consumers showing strong preferences for premium liquors like imported beer, whisky, and vodka. Kentucky leads the nation in whisky consumption, with roughly 293 9-L cases consumed per thousand people. The remote work culture has significantly benefited the Wi-Fi café industry, as nearly 76% of Americans prefer venues with free Wi-Fi facilities. Café operators are investing in high-speed internet connections to cater to this demand, while establishments like La La Land Kind Café and Cheeky Monkey have gained substantial customer traffic by offering specialized menus and play zones for children.

Cafes & Bars Market in Canada

Canada is positioned as the most dynamic market in the region, projected to grow at approximately 18% CAGR from 2024 to 2029. The nation's café culture has evolved significantly, with coffee shops becoming integral to urban lifestyles. The country has witnessed a remarkable transformation in consumer preferences, with a growing inclination toward specialty coffee and tea offerings. Independent outlets dominate the market, particularly in densely populated provinces like Ontario and Quebec. The trend toward healthy food consumption has led to increased demand for smoothies and juices, with more than 61% of Canadians preferring smoothies for breakfast or lunch. Foodservice operators have responded by introducing innovative products such as superfood smoothies and plant-based smoothie bowls, incorporating creative combinations of vegetables, herbs, and spices to cater to evolving tastes. Additionally, the rise of coffee houses and bistros has further enriched the Canadian café scene, offering diverse options for consumers.

Cafes & Bars Market in Mexico

Mexico's cafes and bars market demonstrates strong growth potential, driven by changing consumer behavior and increasing demand for innovative beverage offerings. The country has witnessed a significant rise in specialty coffee consumption, with Mexican cafés expanding their beverage selections to meet sophisticated consumer preferences. The demand for bars and pubs is particularly high in urban areas such as Mexico City, Guadalajara, and Monterrey, catering to young adults' diverse tastes in premium beverages. The market has seen a proliferation of establishments ranging from traditional cantinas to modern cocktail bars and craft beer breweries. Coffee consumption patterns have evolved significantly, with Mexicans consuming approximately 89 million cups of coffee daily, reflecting the growing café culture in the country. The vibrant urban nightlife scene in these cities further fuels the demand for diverse hospitality venues.

Cafes & Bars Market in Other Countries

The rest of North America, encompassing countries like Jamaica, Cuba, Panama, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, and Guatemala, represents an emerging market with unique characteristics and growth opportunities. These markets are characterized by a strong presence of local coffee culture and traditional bars, particularly in tourist destinations. In Jamaica, bars and pubs serve as popular entertainment venues, especially in regions like Kingston, Montego Bay, Negril, and Ocho Rios, offering a diverse range of local beers, rum-based cocktails, and traditional spirits. The specialty coffee segment in these countries is experiencing notable growth, particularly in tourist areas, with an increasing number of establishments focusing on premium coffee experiences and artisanal brewing techniques. The market is also witnessing a gradual shift toward modernization, with many establishments incorporating contemporary trends while maintaining their distinctive local flavors and traditions. The rise of sports bars is also notable, providing a modern twist to traditional settings.

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