Nigeria Power Market Size
| Study Period | 2019 - 2029 |
| Base Year For Estimation | 2023 |
| Market Size (2024) | USD 391.69 Million |
| Market Size (2029) | USD 483 Million |
| CAGR (2024 - 2029) | 4.28 % |
| Market Concentration | Medium |
Major Players
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order |
Nigeria Power Market Analysis
The Nigeria Power Market size is estimated at USD 391.69 million in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 483 million by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 4.28% during the forecast period (2024-2029).
- Over the medium term, the increasing energy demand due to increasing industrialization and urbanization activities and penetration of renewable energy is expected to drive the market.
- However, the cost associated with the increasing infrastructure for power generation facilities is expected to hinder growth.
- Nevertheless, Distributed Power Generation (DPG) presents significant opportunities for the Nigerian power market.
Nigeria Power Market Trends
Thermal Power is Expected to Dominate the Market
- Thermal energy is one of the primary electricity generation sources in Nigeria. The country's significant gas potential is expected to aid the growth of thermal energy sources in the medium term.
- Nigeria has significant natural gas reserves, which serve as a primary fuel for thermal power generation. The country's natural gas reserves are among the largest in the world. This abundance of fuel resources makes thermal power generation a reliable and readily available option for meeting the country's growing electricity demand.
- Moreover, Nigeria already has an established infrastructure for thermal power generation, including power plants, pipelines, and gas supply networks. This infrastructure provides a foundation for the continued dominance of thermal power generation. It enables efficient fuel supply, transmission, and distribution, making operating and expanding thermal power plants cost-effective.
- According to the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission, thermal power generation in Nigeria decreased slightly by 2.12% between the third and fourth quarters of 2023, primarily due to gas supply constraints. However, rising energy demands and supportive government steps to secure natural gas from other trade routes are expected to drive power generation via thermal energy sources in the coming years.
- Moreover, utilizing domestic fuel resources, such as natural gas, for thermal power generation enhances Nigeria's energy security. By relying on indigenous fuel sources, the country can reduce its dependence on imported energy and mitigate the risks associated with fluctuating international fuel prices or supply disruptions.
- For instance, in February 2024, Geometri Power Aba Limited constructed a 188 MW natural gas power generation and distribution project in Abia, Nigeria. The project comprises three GE LM6000 gas turbines with a 47 MW individual capacity each. This is expected to meet the growing power demand in the region.
- Due to such factors, the thermal segment is expected to dominate the market during the forecast period.
Increasing Adaption of Renewable Energy to Drive the Market
- Nigeria, one of the most populous African countries, plans to diversify its energy mix by shifting toward renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind energy, to reduce the country's dependence on gas power generation. The country has abundant renewable energy resources, particularly solar, wind, biomass, and small hydropower (SHP).
- Moreover, the widespread adoption of renewable energy sources is expected to expand power generation capacity in Nigeria. By harnessing the country's abundant renewable resources, the power market can increase its overall capacity, addressing the growing electricity demand and enabling access to electricity for more communities. This expansion can be achieved by constructing utility-scale solar and wind farms, small hydropower plants, and biomass energy projects.
- Additionally, renewable energy technologies offer an excellent opportunity for rural electrification in Nigeria. Many remote and off-grid areas currently underserved by the traditional power grid can benefit from decentralized renewable energy solutions. Off-grid solar systems, mini-grids, and other distributed renewable energy technologies can provide reliable and affordable electricity to these communities, improving their standard of living and supporting economic development.
- According to the International Renewable Energy Agency, solar energy installation in the country has been observing steady growth in recent years. In 2023, the installed solar energy capacity in the country was 112 MW, an increase of 9.8% compared to 2022.
- In February 2023, Rensource Energy, one of Nigeria's fastest-growing off-grid renewable energy EPC companies, revealed the signing of several projects in the nation, including 1.4 MW of solar energy. Rensource Energy intends to build on the new projects as soon as possible. The projects will include battery energy storage systems and vary in size from 300 kWp to 700 kWp. This reflects a strong demand for sustainable and affordable electricity in Nigeria.
- Therefore, the adoption of renewable energy is expected to boost the country's power market.
Nigeria Power Industry Overview
The Nigerian power market is semi-consolidated. Some of the major companies (in no particular order) include First Independent Power Ltd, Mainstream Energy Solutions Limited, Transcorp Power Limited, Sapele Power PLC (SPP), and The Transmission Company of Nigeria.
Nigeria Power Market Leaders
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First Independent Power Ltd
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Mainstream Energy Solutions Limited
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Transcorp Power Limited
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Sapele Power Plc (SPP)
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The Transmission Company of Nigeria
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Nigeria Power Market News
- January 2024: Mainstream Energy Solution Ltd commenced operations at a newly constructed facility in Zungeru, central Nigeria. This is in addition to the other two major hydroelectric plants operated by the company in Nigeria. The 700-megawatt new plant, funded by a USD 1.3 billion loan from China, is being run by Mainstream's subsidiary, Penstock Energy Ltd.
- August 2023: GE Vernova initiated the construction of a natural gas-fired power plant in Nigeria as part of the government's efforts to address electricity shortages. The Gwagwalada Independent Power Plant, with a capacity of 1,350 MW and fueled by locally sourced gas, is projected to contribute approximately 11% of the nation's electricity once fully operational. Situated near Abuja, Nigeria's capital, the plant will be developed in three phases, with GE Vernova collaborating with two other entities on engineering and construction tasks.
Nigeria Power Market Report - Table of Contents
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 Scope of the Study
1.2 Market Definition
1.3 Study Assumptions
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
4. MARKET OVERVIEW
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Nigeria Electricity Market Size and Demand Forecast in USD, Until 2029
4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
4.5 Market Dynamics
4.5.1 Market Drivers
4.5.1.1 Increasing Power Demand
4.5.1.2 Increasing Penetration of Renewable Energy
4.5.2 Market Restraints
4.5.2.1 Inadequate Infrastructure in the Country
4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
4.7 PESTLE Analysis
5. MARKET SEGMENTATION
5.1 Power Generation
5.1.1 Thermal
5.1.2 Renewable
5.1.3 Other Power Generation Sources
5.2 Power Transmission and Distribution
6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
6.3 Company Profiles
6.3.1 Egbin Power PLC
6.3.2 Transcorp Power Limited
6.3.3 Seplat Energy PLC
6.3.4 Abuja Electricity Distribution Company PLC
6.3.5 BEDC Electricity PLC
6.3.6 Yola Electricity Distribution Company (YEDC)
6.3.7 Mainstream Energy Solutions Limited
6.3.8 Sapele Power Plc (SPP)
6.3.9 First Independent Power Ltd
6.3.10 The Transmission Company of Nigeria
- *List Not Exhaustive
6.4 Market Ranking/Share Analysis
7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS
7.1 Increasing Adoption of Distributed Power Generation
Nigeria Power Industry Segmentation
Power generation is the generation of electricity through various primary sources such as coal, hydro, solar, thermal, etc. In utilities, it is a step prior to its delivery to its end users. Then, the process is followed by transmission and distribution. Under this, the power generated is distributed via high-voltage lines (transmission lines) and low-voltage lines (distribution lines) as per the end user's requirement.
The Nigerian power market is segmented by power generation source and power transmission and distribution (T&D). By power generation, the market is segmented into thermal, renewable, and other sources. For each segment, the market sizing and forecasts have been done based on revenue (USD).
| Power Generation | |
| Thermal | |
| Renewable | |
| Other Power Generation Sources |
Nigeria Power Market Research FAQs
How big is the Nigeria Power Market?
The Nigeria Power Market size is expected to reach USD 391.69 million in 2024 and grow at a CAGR of 4.28% to reach USD 483 million by 2029.
What is the current Nigeria Power Market size?
In 2024, the Nigeria Power Market size is expected to reach USD 391.69 million.
Who are the key players in Nigeria Power Market?
First Independent Power Ltd, Mainstream Energy Solutions Limited, Transcorp Power Limited, Sapele Power Plc (SPP) and The Transmission Company of Nigeria are the major companies operating in the Nigeria Power Market.
What years does this Nigeria Power Market cover, and what was the market size in 2023?
In 2023, the Nigeria Power Market size was estimated at USD 374.93 million. The report covers the Nigeria Power Market historical market size for years: 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022 and 2023. The report also forecasts the Nigeria Power Market size for years: 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029.
What opportunities exist in the Nigeria Power Market?
The opportunities that exist in the Nigeria Power Market are a) Renewable energy development, off-grid and mini-grid solutions b) Energy efficiency measures, and attracting investment for infrastructure upgrades c) Market-based electricity exchange systems
Nigeria Power Industry Report
The Nigerian power market is a rapidly evolving sector crucial to the country's economic development, driven by increasing population, urbanization, and industrialization. The power sector in Nigeria encompasses activities related to the generation, transmission, distribution, and consumption of electricity, with a mix of thermal, hydro, and renewable sources. Despite challenges such as inadequate infrastructure, transmission losses, and limited access to electricity in rural areas, recent reforms and investments in renewable energy have created a favorable environment for growth.
Sector analysis reveals that the market is segmented by generation source, end-user segment, and market participants, with significant opportunities in renewable energy development, off-grid solutions, and energy efficiency measures. The competitive landscape of the power industry in Nigeria includes a mix of government-owned utilities and private players. Industry analysis indicates that the future outlook for the Nigeria electricity market is promising, with a focus on expanding the grid and increasing access to electricity. Market forecast and market growth highlight the potential for significant revenue growth in the renewable energy sector.
Industry reports provide a comprehensive market overview and market review, detailing the market segmentation and market value. Research companies have noted that the industry size and industry trends are favorable for investment. Market leaders are expected to drive the growth rate, contributing to the overall market predictions. The market data and industry statistics support the positive market outlook, with industry information indicating robust market growth.
Industry outlook and industry research suggest that the market segmentation will continue to evolve, with a particular emphasis on renewable energy sources. The market predictions are supported by industry sales and industry size, which show a steady increase in market value. The report example and report pdf offer detailed insights into the market dynamics, making it a valuable resource for stakeholders.
Overall, the Nigeria power market is poised for significant growth, with market leaders playing a crucial role in shaping the future of the industry. The market review and market segmentation provide a clear picture of the opportunities and challenges ahead, while the market overview and market outlook offer a strategic perspective for investors and policymakers.
