Middle-East and Africa Military Aviation Market SIZE & SHARE ANALYSIS - GROWTH TRENDS & FORECASTS UP TO 2030

Middle-East and Africa Military Aviation Market Analysis

The Middle-East and Africa Military Aviation Market size is estimated at 6.73 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 8.78 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.47% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

The Middle East and Africa military aviation sector operates within a complex geopolitical landscape characterized by ongoing regional tensions and modernization initiatives. Defense expenditure in the Middle Eastern region reached USD 184 billion in 2022, though it experienced a decline of 3.2% compared to the previous year, while African defense spending saw a 5% reduction to USD 39.4 billion. The aviation sector has emerged as a crucial economic driver, supporting approximately 11.1 million jobs and contributing USD 276 billion to the region's GDP as of June 2022. This substantial economic impact underscores the sector's strategic importance beyond military applications, influencing regional employment and industrial development.

The region is witnessing a significant shift toward indigenous defense capabilities and local manufacturing initiatives. Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 exemplifies this trend, with ambitious plans to increase local military equipment spending to 50% by 2030. Despite lacking indigenous military aircraft development capabilities, countries are establishing strategic partnerships and manufacturing agreements with global defense contractors. These initiatives are reshaping the regional defense industrial landscape, creating new opportunities for technology transfer and local workforce development while reducing dependence on foreign imports.

Major procurement programs are driving market dynamics, with several countries undertaking fleet modernization efforts. The United Arab Emirates has placed a substantial order for 80 Rafale aircraft, while Qatar is proceeding with the acquisition of 72 F-15s. These large-scale procurement programs reflect the region's commitment to maintaining technological superiority and operational readiness. The procurement patterns indicate a strong preference for advanced multi-role capabilities in both fixed-wing and rotary military aircraft segments.

The market is characterized by evolving supplier relationships and strategic partnerships between regional powers and international defense contractors. Countries in the region have emerged as significant arms importers globally, with Saudi Arabia accounting for 11% of global arms imports, followed by Egypt at 5.7%, Qatar at 4.6%, the UAE at 2.8%, and Algeria at 2.6%. These relationships extend beyond simple buyer-seller dynamics to include technology transfer agreements, local manufacturing initiatives, and long-term maintenance and support arrangements. The trend toward diversification of suppliers and increased focus on domestic capabilities is reshaping traditional procurement patterns and fostering new industrial partnerships. The aviation assets in the Middle East are becoming increasingly pivotal in these strategic shifts.

Middle-East and Africa Military Aviation Market Trends

Major military powers in the region have surged their defense expenditure

• Defense expenditures in the Middle Eastern region were around USD 184 billion in 2022, a decline of over 3.2% compared to 2021. In contrast, it was around USD 39.4 billion in Africa in 2022, with a decline of over 5% from 2021. Countries such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, and Algeria were the major countries in the region with a high defense expenditure during 2017-22. They have active procurement programs for multi-role and utility aircraft in fixed-wing segments.
• Sub-Saharan Africa’s combined military expenditure stood at USD 20.3 billion in 2022, down by 7.3% compared to 2021 and 18% compared to 2013. Nigeria and South Africa, the sub-regions two largest spenders, led the decline in military spending in 2022. In 2022, Israel’s military spending fell for the first time since 2009. Its total of USD 23.4 billion was 4.2% lower than in 2021.
• The year-on-year (Y-o-Y) growth in Saudi Arabia's military spending was 16% in 2022 compared to 2021, the first Y-o-Y increase since 2018. Saudi Arabia's military expenditure was estimated at USD 75.0 billion last year. The reduction coincided with accusations that Saudi Arabia had started to remove its military personnel from Yemen. However, the Saudi government denied the allegations and insisted that the personnel were just being redeployed. Since 2015, Saudi Arabia has been leading a coalition in a military campaign against the war-torn nation of Yemen, and the fighting continued into 2022. Saudi Arabia had the second-largest military budget in the world, at 7.4% of GDP, after Ukraine in 2022.

Fleet replacement programs for older aircraft are projected to be the main driver for Middle Eastern military aviation

• As of 2022, the Middle East & Africa had an active fleet of 9,460 aircraft. The total active aircraft fleet increased by 1% in the region compared to 2017. South Africa, Algeria, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt, and Qatar accounted for 58% of the total active fleet in the region.
• In the Middle East, defense spending in 2022 totaled USD 157 billion, an increase of 8.6% from 2020 and 5.6% from 2012, respectively. While North Africa accounted for 49%, Sub-Saharan Africa accounted for 51% of the total spending.
• Countries such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates are expanding their aircraft fleet size to fulfill the demands of modern warfare. They may continue to produce and acquire next-generation aircraft during the forecast period. The regional armed forces are also enhancing the capabilities of helicopters with cutting-edge technology to obtain military superiority over the external threat.
• Africa’s active fleet size decreased by 1% in 2022 compared to 2017. South Africa, Algeria, and Egypt accounted for 45% of the total fleet in Africa. The fleet may increase in the coming years as major countries like Algeria and Egypt plan to procure around 100 aircraft. The Middle East & Africa’s active fleet increased by 8% compared to 2017. Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Turkey accounted for 59% of the total fleet in the Middle East. During the forecast period, the active aircraft fleet may increase in the region as countries like the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Turkey plan to procure around 400 aircraft.

OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT

Segment Analysis: Sub Aircraft Type

Fixed-wing Aircraft Segment in Middle East and Africa Military Aviation Market

The fixed-wing aircraft segment dominates the Middle East and Africa military aviation market, accounting for approximately 83% of the total market value in 2024. This segment's prominence is driven by significant procurement programs across the region, particularly in countries like the UAE, Egypt, and Qatar. The UAE's order for 80 Rafale fighter aircraft, Qatar's procurement of 72 F-15QAs, and Egypt's contract for 30 Rafale fighter aircraft worth USD 4.5 billion demonstrate the strong demand for fixed-wing military aircraft. The segment is also experiencing robust growth, projected to expand at nearly 7% annually from 2024 to 2029, driven by ongoing fleet modernization initiatives and the increasing focus on enhancing aerial combat capabilities. Countries in the region are actively replacing their aging fleet with modern, technologically advanced combat aircraft to maintain military superiority and address regional security challenges.

Rotorcraft Segment in Middle East and Africa Military Aviation Market

The rotorcraft segment plays a crucial role in the Middle East and Africa military aviation market, offering versatile capabilities for various military operations. This segment encompasses multi-mission military helicopters, transport helicopters, and specialized rotorcraft platforms. The demand is particularly strong for attack helicopters and multi-mission platforms, with countries like Saudi Arabia, Algeria, and Egypt leading procurement initiatives. The segment's growth is supported by requirements for close air support, anti-tank operations, tactical transport, and maritime patrol missions. Recent developments include Egypt's order for 24 AW149 combat helicopters, Algeria's planned acquisition of Mi-28 attack helicopters, and Saudi Arabia's procurement of modified UH-60M military helicopters, demonstrating the region's commitment to enhancing its rotorcraft capabilities.

Middle-East and Africa Military Aviation Market Geography Segment Analysis

Middle-East and Africa Military Aviation Market in Qatar

Qatar's military aviation market has emerged as the dominant force in the Middle East and Africa region, holding approximately 24% market share in 2024. The country's robust military modernization initiatives are driven by regional security dynamics and its commitment to maintaining a technologically advanced air force. Qatar's strategic focus on developing interoperability and combined readiness of its armed forces has led to significant investments in next-generation military aircraft and advanced military aviation capabilities. The country's emphasis on fleet modernization encompasses both fixed-wing aircraft and rotorcraft segments, with particular attention to multi-role combat aircraft and transport helicopters. Qatar's military aviation landscape is characterized by comprehensive procurement programs that include advanced training systems and support infrastructure. The nation's approach to military aviation development reflects its broader defense strategy of maintaining regional stability while enhancing its defensive capabilities through modern air power.

Middle-East and Africa Military Aviation Market in United Arab Emirates

The United Arab Emirates represents one of the most dynamic military aviation markets in the region, projected to grow at approximately 17% annually from 2024 to 2029. The UAE's military aviation sector is undergoing significant transformation through ambitious modernization programs and strategic partnerships with global aerospace leaders. The country's focus on developing indigenous defense capabilities has led to increased collaboration between local defense companies and international manufacturers. The UAE's commitment to aerospace innovation is evident in its investments in advanced fighter military aircraft, military transport aircraft platforms, and combat helicopters. The nation's military aviation strategy emphasizes the development of multi-role capabilities and the integration of cutting-edge technologies. Through initiatives like the EDGE program, the UAE is actively promoting defense localization and technological self-reliance. The country's approach to military aviation modernization is comprehensive, encompassing training, maintenance, and support infrastructure development.

Middle-East and Africa Military Aviation Market in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia's military aviation sector represents a crucial component of the country's defense modernization strategy, aligned with its Vision 2030 objectives. The kingdom's commitment to reducing foreign arms imports and localizing 50% of military expenditure to Saudi-based firms is reshaping its aerospace industry landscape. The country's military aviation modernization encompasses both fixed-wing aircraft and rotorcraft segments, with a particular focus on developing indigenous capabilities through strategic partnerships. Saudi Arabia's approach to military aviation development includes comprehensive training programs, maintenance facilities, and support infrastructure. The nation's investment in military aviation reflects its broader strategic objectives of enhancing defensive capabilities and developing a sustainable local defense industry. The country's focus on fleet modernization extends across multiple aircraft categories, including combat aircraft, transport platforms, and military helicopters.

Middle-East and Africa Military Aviation Market in Egypt

Egypt's military aviation market demonstrates strong growth potential, driven by the country's comprehensive modernization initiatives and strategic defense requirements. The nation's approach to military aviation development is influenced by regional security dynamics and the need to maintain a modern, capable air force. Egypt's military aviation strategy encompasses both fixed-wing and rotorcraft segments, with significant investments in combat aircraft, training platforms, and military helicopters. The country's focus on enhancing its air defense capabilities has led to partnerships with various international aerospace manufacturers. Egypt's military aviation development program includes comprehensive training systems, maintenance facilities, and support infrastructure. The nation's investment in military aviation reflects its commitment to maintaining regional stability and protecting its strategic interests through modern air power capabilities.

Middle-East and Africa Military Aviation Market in Other Countries

The military aviation markets in other Middle Eastern and African countries, including Algeria, Kuwait, Oman, Iraq, Morocco, Nigeria, Jordan, Bahrain, and Tunisia, demonstrate diverse development patterns shaped by their specific security requirements and economic capabilities. These nations are pursuing various modernization initiatives across different segments of military aviation, from combat aircraft to transport and training platforms. The focus areas vary by country, with some prioritizing air defense capabilities while others emphasize transport and logistics support. Many of these nations are engaging in strategic partnerships with international aerospace manufacturers to enhance their military aviation capabilities. The development of indigenous maintenance and support capabilities remains a common theme across these markets. These countries are increasingly focusing on comprehensive aviation solutions that include training systems, maintenance infrastructure, and long-term support services.

Free With This Report

We provide a complimentary and exhaustive set of data points on global and regional metrics that present the fundamental structure of the industry. Presented in the form of 45+ free charts, the section covers data on commercial aircraft deliveries by manufacturer, backlogs of commercial aircraft, active military aircraft fleet by type of aircraft, overall business jets and helicopters fleet by manufacturer and also classified by type of ownership.