Mexico Power Market Size (2024 - 2029)

The Mexico Power Market is anticipated to experience growth in its installed base over the forecast period, driven by increasing power demand due to population growth and new power generation projects aligned with urbanization. However, the market's expansion may face challenges from the government's push to limit private investment and enhance state control. Despite these challenges, opportunities exist for renewable energy companies to contribute to the country's goal of generating a significant portion of its electricity from renewable sources, as mandated by the General Climate Change Law.

Market Size of Mexico Power Industry

Mexico Power Market Summary
Study Period 2020-2029
Base Year For Estimation 2023
Market Volume (2024) 91.90 gigawatt
Market Volume (2029) 108.70 gigawatt
CAGR (2024 - 2029) > 3.40 %
Market Concentration Medium

Major Players

Mexico Power Market Major Players

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

Mexico Power Market Analysis

The Mexico Power Market size in terms of installed base is expected to grow from 91.90 gigawatt in 2024 to 108.70 gigawatt by 2029, at a CAGR of greater than 3.40% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

  • Over the medium period, the market is substantially driven by factors like high power demand due to the growing population and upcoming power generation projects, mainly to go parallel with the pace of urbanization in the country.
  • On the other hand, the new government's intentions to reduce private investments and make the sector more state-owned can pose a significant threat to market growth.
  • Nevertheless, Mexico's General Climate Change Law has set a target of generating 35% of total electricity from renewable sources by 2024. Such a target would create an opportunity for power-renewable companies to set up various projects to meet the target for the country during the upcoming years.

Mexico Power Industry Segmentation

Power generation is generated through various primary sources such as coal, hydro, solar, thermal, etc. In utilities, it is a step before its delivery to end users. Transmission and distribution take place after the process. Under this, the power generated is distributed via high-voltage lines (transmission lines) and low-voltage lines (distribution lines) per the end user's requirements.

The Mexican power market is segmented by power generation and power transmission and distribution (T&D). By power generation, the market is segmented into thermal, hydro, renewables, and others. The market sizing and forecasts for each segment in power generation have been done based on installed capacity.

Power Generation
Thermal
Hydro
Renewables
Other Power Generation
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Mexico Power Market Size Summary

The Mexican power market is poised for significant expansion over the forecast period, driven by increasing power demand due to urbanization and population growth. The market's growth trajectory is supported by upcoming power generation projects, although government policies favoring state ownership over private investment could pose challenges. The country's commitment to generating a substantial portion of its electricity from renewable sources by 2024 presents opportunities for renewable energy companies. Despite the rise of wind and solar power, thermal power plants, particularly those based on natural gas, coal, and oil, are expected to maintain their dominance in the energy mix. The government's prioritization of thermal power and ongoing projects, such as the development of natural gas-fired power plants in the Yucat√°n Peninsula, are set to bolster the sector.

The transmission network in Mexico has been evolving to meet the increasing energy demand, with significant investments planned to enhance infrastructure. The National Electric System Development Program (Prodesen) is spearheading the development of new transmission lines to improve accessibility and support the growing energy needs. The relocation of Asian companies to Mexico has further stimulated the market by reducing transportation costs and facilitating access to the North American market. Key projects, such as the modernization of the Tecamachalco–Tlacotepec transmission line, are expected to contribute to the market's robust growth. The market remains moderately fragmented, with major players like Enel SpA, Comision Federal de Electricidad, and Iberdrola SA actively participating in the sector. Recent government actions, including the acquisition of power plants from Iberdrola and enhanced cooperation with the United States on nuclear energy, underscore the dynamic nature of Mexico's power market.

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Mexico Power Market Size - Table of Contents

  1. 1. MARKET OVERVIEW

    1. 1.1 Introduction

    2. 1.2 Electricity Generation Mix, 2022

    3. 1.3 Power Generation Installed Capacity and Forecast, till 2029

    4. 1.4 Recent Trends and Developments

    5. 1.5 Government Policies and Regulations

    6. 1.6 Market Dynamics

      1. 1.6.1 Drivers

        1. 1.6.1.1 High Power Demand due to the Growing Population

        2. 1.6.1.2 Upcoming Power Generation Projects

      2. 1.6.2 Restraints

        1. 1.6.2.1 The New Government's Intentions to Reduce Private Investments

    7. 1.7 Supply Chain Analysis

    8. 1.8 PESTLE Analysis

  2. 2. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 2.1 Power Generation

      1. 2.1.1 Thermal

      2. 2.1.2 Hydro

      3. 2.1.3 Renewables

      4. 2.1.4 Other Power Generation

    2. 2.2 Power Transmission and Distribution (T&D)

Mexico Power Market Size FAQs

The Mexico Power Market size is expected to reach 91.90 gigawatt in 2024 and grow at a CAGR of greater than 3.40% to reach 108.70 gigawatt by 2029.

In 2024, the Mexico Power Market size is expected to reach 91.90 gigawatt.

Mexico Power Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)