Commercial Real Estate Market In Mexico Market Size (2024 - 2029)

The Mexico Commercial Real Estate Market is poised for significant growth, with its market size expected to expand over the forecast period. This expansion is driven by a resurgence in investment activities as industries recover from pandemic impacts, particularly in key areas like Monterrey and Yucatan, which are attracting substantial public and private investment. Despite the positive outlook, the market faces challenges such as geopolitical tensions, inflation, and rising interest rates, which contribute to its instability. Nonetheless, the increasing demand for industrial and logistics real estate, along with the strategic geographic advantages of certain regions, continues to create opportunities for market growth.

Market Size of Commercial Real Estate Industry In Mexico

Mexico Commercial Real Estate Industry Summary
Study Period 2020 - 2029
Base Year For Estimation 2023
Market Size (2024) USD 53.60 Billion
Market Size (2029) USD 75.99 Billion
CAGR (2024 - 2029) 7.23 %
Market Concentration Low

Major Players

Mexico Commercial Real Estate Market Major Players

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

Mexico Commercial Real Estate Market Analysis

The Commercial Real Estate Market In Mexico Market size in terms of transaction value is expected to grow from USD 53.60 billion in 2024 to USD 75.99 billion by 2029, at a CAGR of 7.23% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

• Investors overcame pandemic limitations, resulting in the year's busiest start ever for commercial real estate. According to industry sources, in the first quarter of 2023, the annual asking rent for industrial and logistics real estate in Mexico was USD 6.47 per square meter in Monterrey, the country's largest market. This growth was primarily due to the recovery of industries hit by the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, the quarterly investment figures in the development of offices, hotels, and retail all increased year over year.

• Due to its safety, culture, tourist attractions, and standard of living, Yucatan is one of the most sought-after places to live in Mexico. The industrial sector has also seen an exponential rise in public and private investment, which has boosted trade, services, housing, and tourism. The exceptional geographic setting provides a desirable balance between the city and the beach. Since more than 80% of the country's real estate is concentrated in just 15 states, the peninsular entity is currently one of those states. Numerous corporate, land, residential, commercial, and industrial developments are being done in this area to capitalize on the Yucatan real estate boom.

• Monterrey City district is witnessing high real estate investment primarily due to multiple industries in this area. Similarly, Mérida is ranked sixth overall and the most competitive city in the southeast by the Mexican Institute of Competitiveness (IMCO). The market, driven by the increase in tourists and huge investments in industrial real estate, creates opportunities for many cities to flourish and contribute to the country's economy.

• The real estate investment mood has improved, but there is still cause for caution. The market is experiencing instability due to geopolitics, inflation, and rising interest rates. The real estate industry faces many challenges, including shifting monetary policy, labor shortages, trade and transportation impediments, and demand pressures from businesses wishing to expand or restart operations.

Mexico Commercial Real Estate Industry Segmentation

Commercial real estate (CRE) refers to non-residential property that serves to generate income. This includes shopping malls, hotels, and office spaces, among others.

A complete background analysis of the Mexico Commercial Real Estate Market, including the assessment of the economy and contribution of sectors in the economy, market overview, market size estimation for key segments, and emerging trends in the market segments, market dynamics, and geographical trends, and COVID-19 impact is included in the report.

Mexico's commercial real estate market is segmented by type (office, retail, industrial, logistics, multi-family, and hospitality) and key cities (Mexico City, Oaxaca, Chiapas, and Puebla). The market size and forecasts for Mexico's commercial real estate market are provided in terms of value (USD) for all the above segments.

Type
Offices
Retail
Industrial
Logistics
Multi-family
Hospitality
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Commercial Real Estate Market In Mexico Size Summary

The commercial real estate market in Mexico is poised for significant growth over the forecast period, driven by a resurgence in industrial and logistics sectors. The market's expansion is attributed to the recovery of industries affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, with increased investments in office, hotel, and retail developments. Key regions such as Monterrey and Yucatan are experiencing heightened activity due to their strategic locations and favorable living conditions, attracting both national and international investors. The demand for office space in Monterrey is particularly strong, supported by the city's robust economic environment and the presence of numerous corporate entities. Despite the positive outlook, the market faces challenges from geopolitical tensions, inflation, and rising interest rates, which could impact investment sentiments.

Nuevo Leon, especially Monterrey, stands out as a leading hub for industrial real estate, benefiting from its proximity to the US border and a strong manufacturing base. The region is witnessing a surge in demand for industrial and logistics facilities, with companies expanding operations to diversify supply chains. Significant investments by major corporations, including Tesla and its suppliers, are further boosting the market. The construction of new industrial buildings is ongoing to accommodate the influx of companies attracted by nearshoring opportunities. The market remains competitive, with numerous players, including large developers and emerging medium- and small-sized firms, actively participating. Financial investment instruments like Fibras and CKDs are gaining traction, contributing to the market's dynamism.

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Commercial Real Estate Market In Mexico Market Size - Table of Contents

  1. 1. MARKET INSIGHTS AND DYNAMICS

    1. 1.1 Current Economic Scenario and Consumer Sentiment

    2. 1.2 Commercial Real Estate Buying Trends - Socioeconomic and Demographic Insights

    3. 1.3 Government Initiatives and Regulatory Aspects for the Commercial Real Estate Sector

    4. 1.4 Insights into Existing and Upcoming Projects

    5. 1.5 Insights into Interest Rate Regime for General Economy and Real Estate Lending

    6. 1.6 Insights into Rental Yields in the Commercial Real Estate Segment

    7. 1.7 Insights into Capital Market Penetration and REIT Presence in Commercial Real Estate

    8. 1.8 Insights into Public-private Partnerships in Commercial Real Estate

    9. 1.9 Insights into Real Estate Tech and Startups Active in Real Estate Segment (Broking, Social Media, Facility Management, and Property Management)

    10. 1.10 Market Dynamics

      1. 1.10.1 Market Drivers

        1. 1.10.1.1 Increasing foreign investments driving the market

        2. 1.10.1.2 Increasing urbanization driving the market

      2. 1.10.2 Market Restraints

        1. 1.10.2.1 Economic uncertainity affecting the growth of the market

        2. 1.10.2.2 Increasing cost of raw materials affecting the construction industry

      3. 1.10.3 Market Opportunities

        1. 1.10.3.1 Increasing transportation infrastructure projects

        2. 1.10.3.2 The adoption of new technologies in the construction market

    11. 1.11 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis

      1. 1.11.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers

      2. 1.11.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers/ Buyers

      3. 1.11.3 Threat of New Entrants

      4. 1.11.4 Threat of Substitute Products

      5. 1.11.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

  2. 2. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 2.1 Type

      1. 2.1.1 Offices

      2. 2.1.2 Retail

      3. 2.1.3 Industrial

      4. 2.1.4 Logistics

      5. 2.1.5 Multi-family

      6. 2.1.6 Hospitality

Commercial Real Estate Market In Mexico Market Size FAQs

The Commercial Real Estate Market In Mexico Market size is expected to reach USD 53.60 billion in 2024 and grow at a CAGR of 7.23% to reach USD 75.99 billion by 2029.

In 2024, the Commercial Real Estate Market In Mexico Market size is expected to reach USD 53.60 billion.

Mexico Commercial Real Estate Market Size - Industry Report on Share, Growth Trends & Forecasts Analysis (2024 - 2029)