Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Size
| Study Period | 2020 - 2029 |
| Base Year For Estimation | 2023 |
| Market Size (2024) | USD 21.04 Billion |
| Market Size (2029) | USD 30.07 Billion |
| CAGR (2024 - 2029) | 7.40 % |
| Market Concentration | Low |
Major Players
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order |
Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Analysis
The Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market size is estimated at USD 21.04 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 30.07 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 7.40% during the forecast period (2024-2029).
- The market is driven by the country's rapid population growth and high urbanization. The long-term outlook for commercial real estate looks positive for Indonesia, supported by solid economic growth and rising urbanization. The COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on the commercial real estate (CRE) sector in Indonesia. Commercial property transaction volumes and prices fell in 2020 as pandemic containment measures harmed economic activity and reduced demand for commercial property.
- Some markets, particularly in Asia, quickly rebounded from the initial shock, but long-term social distance limitations reduced occupier demand in the country's economy, contributing to a growing disparity in CRE prices across Indonesia and CRE segments (such as retail, office buildings, industrial, and multi-family buildings).
- Average land prices in Indonesia have been growing across the country. Prices continue to be highest in the capital city, Jakarta, which is the economic center of Indonesia.
- There is still much room for further developments to fulfill the demand for commercial real estate. To meet the rising property demand, the Indonesian government introduced several measures to expand the sector, such as decreasing key interest rates, providing tax incentives to Indonesian real estate investment trusts, and increasing the loan-to-value ratios.
- The Indonesian government authorized a budget of IDR 2.7 quadrillion (USD 190.1 billion) for 2022 in September 2021, with IDR 1.9 quadrillion (USD 133.8 billion) going to the central government and IDR 770 trillion (USD 54.2 billion) going the regional administration. Simultaneously, the government announced intentions in the budget to allocate IDR 384.8 trillion (USD 27.1 billion) to infrastructure.
Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Trends
This section covers the major market trends shaping the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market according to our research experts:
The demand for office remains strong in the country
Some large leasing transactions were recorded during the fourth quarter of 2021, such as in MSIG Tower of about 15,000 sqm by an online education institution, in Medialand Tower by a logistics company of 5,500 sqm, and in Capital Place of 4,000 sqm by Nokia.
Overall, improving trends in inquiries and transactions from those in 2021 were observed throughout the year, with demand coming mostly from tenants looking for office relocations and consolidations for 2022 and beyond.
After six consecutive quarters of market contraction trend, the Jakarta CBD office market recorded its first positive quarterly net-take-up of 17,900 sqm in the fourth quarter of 2021, indicating a very positive sign for market recovery in the near term.
The average occupancy rate of the CBD (Central Business District) office market decreased by 0.2%-70.4% by the end of December 2021, due mostly to the large additional supply. The base rental rate in Rupiah decreased further by 3.0% Q-o-Q in the fourth quarter of 2021, in line with weak demand and decreasing average occupancy of the market.
By the end of December 2021, the average base rental in Rupiah term stood at IDR 175,100 per sqm per month (a decrease of 9.1% YoY), while in USD equivalent, it stood at USD 12.3 per sqm per month (a decrease of 9.6% Y-o-Y). Meanwhile, service charges remained relatively unchanged over the fourth quarter of 2021.
Retail Space likely to Witness Growth in Jakarta
Closing out the year in 2022, the Jakarta retail market recorded an addition of one new retail center in South Jakarta, namely AEON Mall Tanjung Barat. The opening of AEON Mall Tanjung Barat added approximately 40,000 sqm of retail space to the market.
This fourth AEON Mall in Indonesia, together with the Southgate Residence project, is expected to create a new one-stop urban lifestyle complex in South Jakarta. With the total addition of two new projects in 2021, the total full-year new supply of Jakarta retail centers in 2021 reached 70,000 sqm. Another two retail centers with approximately 73,000 sqm of retail space are expected to enter the Jakarta retail market by 2022.
The total refurbishment and transformation of Sarinah, the oldest retail center in Jakarta, was completed and was open to the public in March 2022. The total Jakarta retail supply will reach 4,716,400 sqm by the end of 2022. The overall Jakarta retail market was relatively stable during the last quarter of 2021. The occupancy rate stood at 76.7%, which increased slightly by 0.2% since the last quarter of 2021.
Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Industry Overview
The commercial real estate market in Indonesia is fragmented, with the presence of many small players. Some major Indonesian commercial real estate companies include Agung Podomoro Land, Sinarmas Land, Lippo Karawaci, Ciputra Group, and Dutta Angada Realty. Indonesia has a fragmented market dominated by local commercial real estate players. However, the country's rising investments and mergers and acquisitions activities are expected to increase investments in the sector in the forecast period.
Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Leaders
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Agung Podomoro Land
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Sinarmas Land
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Lippo Karawaci
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Ciputra Group
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RDTX Group
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market News
- October 2022: Global digital infrastructure company Equinix., Inc. has announced its expansion into Indonesia with a planned approximately USD 74 million International Business Exchange (IBX®) data center in the heart of Jakarta. With this expansion, Equinix will enable Indonesian companies and multinationals based in Indonesia to leverage its proven platform to consolidate and connect the underlying infrastructure of their business.
- January 2022: Emerging Markets Property Group (EMPG), a property-focused market operator, has acquired OLX Indonesia property assets for an undisclosed sum through the local property arm Lamudi.
Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Report - Table of Contents
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 Study Assumptions
1.2 Scope of the Study
2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
4. MARKET INSIGHTS AND DYNAMICS
4.1 Current Market Overview
4.2 Market Dynamics
4.2.1 Drivers
4.2.2 Restraints
4.2.3 Opportunities
4.3 Industry Attractiveness - Porters 5 Force Analysis
4.3.1 Threat of New Entrants
4.3.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
4.3.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.3.4 Threat of Substitute Products
4.3.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
4.4 Commercial Real Estate Buying Trends - Socioeconomic and Demographic Insights
4.5 Government Initiatives and Regulatory Aspects for the Commercial Real Estate Sector
4.6 Insights into Existing and Upcoming Projects
4.7 Insights into Interest Rate Regime for the General Economy and Real Estate Lending
4.8 Insights into Rental Yields in the Commercial Real Estate Segment
4.9 Insights into Capital Market Penetration and REIT Presence in Commercial Real Estate
4.10 Insights into Public-Private Partnerships in Commercial Real Estate
4.11 Insights into Real Estate Tech and Startups Active in the Real Estate Segment (Broking, Social Media, Facility Management, and Property Management)
5. MARKET SEGMENTATION
5.1 By Type
5.1.1 Offices
5.1.2 Retail
5.1.3 Industrial
5.1.4 Logistics
5.1.5 Multi-family
5.1.6 Hospitality
5.2 By Key Cities
5.2.1 Jakarta
5.2.2 Surabaya
5.2.3 Semarang
6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
6.1 Market Concentration
6.2 Company Profiles
6.2.1 Developers
6.2.1.1 Agung Podomoro Land
6.2.1.2 Sinarmas Land
6.2.1.3 Lippo Karawaci
6.2.1.4 Ciputra Group
6.2.1.5 RDTX Group
6.2.1.6 PP Properti
6.2.1.7 Dutta Angada Realty
6.2.2 Other Companies (Real Estate Agencies, Startups, Associations, etc.)
6.2.2.1 Carigudang
6.2.2.2 CoHive
6.2.2.3 GoWork
6.2.2.4 UnionSpace
6.2.2.5 Cushman and Wakefield Indonesia
6.2.2.6 Coldwell Banker Commercial Indonesia*
- *List Not Exhaustive
7. FUTURE OF THE MARKET
8. DISCLAIMER
Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Industry Segmentation
Commercial real estate, investment property, or income property is intended to generate a profit, either from capital gains or rental income. This report aims to provide a detailed analysis of the Indonesian commercial real estate market. The Indonesian commercial real estate market is segmented by type (offices, retail, industrial, logistics, multi-family, and hospitality) and key cities (Jakarta, Surabaya, and Semarang). The report offers market size and forecast values (USD billion) for all the above segments.
| By Type | |
| Offices | |
| Retail | |
| Industrial | |
| Logistics | |
| Multi-family | |
| Hospitality |
| By Key Cities | |
| Jakarta | |
| Surabaya | |
| Semarang |
Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Research FAQs
How big is the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market?
The Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market size is expected to reach USD 21.04 billion in 2024 and grow at a CAGR of 7.40% to reach USD 30.07 billion by 2029.
What is the current Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market size?
In 2024, the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market size is expected to reach USD 21.04 billion.
Who are the key players in Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market?
Agung Podomoro Land, Sinarmas Land, Lippo Karawaci, Ciputra Group and RDTX Group are the major companies operating in the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market.
What years does this Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market cover, and what was the market size in 2023?
In 2023, the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market size was estimated at USD 19.59 billion. The report covers the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market historical market size for years: 2020, 2021, 2022 and 2023. The report also forecasts the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market size for years: 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029.
Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Industry Report
Statistics for the 2024 Indonesia Commercial Real Estate market share, size and revenue growth rate, created by Mordor Intelligence™ Industry Reports. Indonesia Commercial Real Estate analysis includes a market forecast outlook to 2029 and historical overview. Get a sample of this industry analysis as a free report PDF download.
