Canada Commercial Real Estate Market Size (2024 - 2029)

The Canada Commercial Real Estate Market is experiencing significant growth, with its market size expanding steadily over the forecast period. This growth is driven by various factors, including the expansion of businesses and the increasing demand for commercial spaces, particularly in the office and industrial sectors. Despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, which disrupted the market landscape, the sector has shown resilience. The interplay between population growth, employment, and real estate performance continues to be a key driver. Additionally, competition from American retailers has prompted Canadian businesses to invest in their models, further influencing the market dynamics. As technology reshapes the retail experience, companies are adapting their strategies to optimize their market presence, contributing to the overall growth of the commercial real estate market in Canada.

Market Size of Canada Commercial Real Estate Industry

Canada Commercial Real Estate Market Summary
Study Period 2019 - 2029
Base Year For Estimation 2023
Market Size (2024) USD 77.09 Billion
Market Size (2029) USD 111.12 Billion
CAGR (2024 - 2029) 7.59 %
Market Concentration Low

Major Players

Canada Commercial Real Estate Market Major Players

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

Canada Commercial Real Estate Market Analysis

The Canada Commercial Real Estate Market size is estimated at USD 77.09 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 111.12 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 7.59% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

Commercial real estate in Canada has witnessed tremendous growth and strong performance over the past thirty years. Industry participants have enjoyed outstanding possibilities for investment, asset development, service development, and property management.

However, the COVID-19 pandemic altered the real estate market's environment in Canada. The global cascade of corporate closures, restricted borders, and reduced spending habits affected investors, landlords, and tenants. They monitored the effects of COVID-19 and dynamically adjusted their operations and backup plans to support their operations and personnel on a daily basis.

In actuality, there is a direct link between population, employment, and real estate performance growth. The need for space grows along with a company's growth and expansion, and so does the cost of real estate to accommodate the addition of new personnel, goods, or services. Over the past thirty years, demand and space absorption have largely stayed positive in the office and industrial sectors.

Other elements that contribute to the expanding productivity gap include Canadian businesses' propensity to avoid competition, which is demonstrated by their comparatively low export intensity in comparison to other nations. Canada invests less in ICT than other developed nations in the mining, oil and gas, manufacturing (a proxy for industrial space), and banking (a proxy for office space) industries, three key contributors to our economy.

Several American firms, including Costco, Home Depot, Walmart, Apple, and others, have opened up shop in Canada. In order to stay competitive, Canadian merchants have been compelled to invest in their business models. The impressive legacy Additionally sold to American investors, Hudson's Bay Company is now gaining market share as a result of the increased investment and rivalry. As a result, this industry's production and retail spending have both increased significantly.

As technology improves the "path to purchase" for customers and the retail experience, store measurements continue to change. Mobile price monitoring is posing a competitive threat by minimizing the need for store visits and in-store transactions. In reaction to this trend, every store is uniquely realigning its portfolios. For instance, Staples is modifying their business strategy to emphasize e-commerce more. To guarantee that their Canadian footprint is optimized, other retailers are also reviewing their shop strategies.

Canada Commercial Real Estate Industry Segmentation

Commercial real estate (CRE) is a property used exclusively for business-related purposes or to provide a workspace rather than as a living space. Commercial real estate is often leased to tenants to conduct income-generating activities. This broad real estate category can include everything from a single storefront to a huge shopping center.

The Canadian commercial real estate market is segmented by type (office, retail, industrial, multi-family, and hospitality) and by city (Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, Ottawa, Montreal, and Edmonton, as well as other cities).

The report offers market size and forecasts for the commercial real estate market in Canada in terms of value (USD) for all the above segments.

By Type
Office
Retail
Industrial
Multi-family
Hospitality
By Key Cities
Toronto
Vancouver
Calgary
Ottawa
Montreal
Edmonton
Rest of Canada
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Canada Commercial Real Estate Market Size Summary

The Canadian commercial real estate market has experienced significant growth and resilience over the past three decades, offering substantial opportunities for investment and development. Despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, which impacted investor and tenant behaviors, the market has shown a strong recovery trajectory. The interplay between population growth, employment, and real estate demand has been a driving force, with the office and industrial sectors maintaining positive absorption rates. The entry of major American retailers has spurred Canadian businesses to innovate and invest, further boosting market activity. Technological advancements have also reshaped retail strategies, prompting a shift towards e-commerce and optimized store portfolios. This dynamic environment has led to increased demand for sophisticated storage and distribution centers, aligning with the "just-in-time" retail model.

The market's fragmentation is characterized by a mix of local and international players, with significant investments and new property developments shaping the landscape. Canadian cities like Toronto and Vancouver are witnessing rising office occupancy rates, despite challenges such as remote work and economic uncertainties. The market's resilience is evident in the declining vacancy rates in major urban centers, with Calgary, Waterloo Region, and Vancouver leading the way. Notable transactions, such as Prologis's acquisition of industrial properties and VICI Properties' investment in Canadian gaming assets, highlight the ongoing confidence in the market's potential. Leading Canadian real estate firms continue to play a pivotal role in driving growth, supported by strategic acquisitions and developments.

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Canada Commercial Real Estate Market Size - Table of Contents

  1. 1. MARKET INSIGHTS

    1. 1.1 Current Economic Scenario and Consumer Sentiment

    2. 1.2 Commercial Real Estate Buying Trends - Socioeconomic and Demographic Insights

    3. 1.3 Government Initiatives, Regulatory Aspects for the Commercial Real Estate Sector

    4. 1.4 Insights on Existing and Upcoming Projects

    5. 1.5 Insights on Interest Rate Regime for General Economy, and real estate lending

    6. 1.6 Insights on rental yields in commercial real estate segment

    7. 1.7 Insights on capital market penetration and REIT presence in commercial real estate

    8. 1.8 Insights on public-private partnerships in commercial real estate

    9. 1.9 Insights on real estate tech and startups active in real estate segment (broking, social media, facility management, and property management)

    10. 1.10 Impact of COVID-19 on the market

  2. 2. MARKET SEGMENTATION (Market Size By Value)

    1. 2.1 By Type

      1. 2.1.1 Office

      2. 2.1.2 Retail

      3. 2.1.3 Industrial

      4. 2.1.4 Multi-family

      5. 2.1.5 Hospitality

    2. 2.2 By Key Cities

      1. 2.2.1 Toronto

      2. 2.2.2 Vancouver

      3. 2.2.3 Calgary

      4. 2.2.4 Ottawa

      5. 2.2.5 Montreal

      6. 2.2.6 Edmonton

      7. 2.2.7 Rest of Canada

Canada Commercial Real Estate Market Size FAQs

The Canada Commercial Real Estate Market size is expected to reach USD 77.09 billion in 2024 and grow at a CAGR of 7.59% to reach USD 111.12 billion by 2029.

In 2024, the Canada Commercial Real Estate Market size is expected to reach USD 77.09 billion.

Canada Commercial Real Estate Market Size - Industry Report on Share, Growth Trends & Forecasts Analysis (2024 - 2029)