Market Trends of China Geopolymer Industry
Building Segment to Dominate the Market
- Geopolymer concrete is an innovative and eco-friendly construction material and an alternative to Portland cement concrete. It is very resistant to several of the durability issues that can cause traditional concretes to crack and crumble.
- Concrete is one of the most common building materials used in the construction of buildings. While concrete is an excellent construction material, its production releases a large amount of carbon dioxide (CO2). The use of geopolymer reduces the demand for Portland cement which is responsible for high CO2 emission.
- China, the world’s largest construction market, is implementing measures to reach peak carbon emissions by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. The Hong Kong government also initiated policies aimed at achieving carbon neutrality by 2050, and the development of green buildings is set as a top priority.
- According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the construction industry in China generated an added value of approximately CNY 8.3 trillion (~USD 1.23 trillion) in 2022.
- Similarly, according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the value of construction output accounted for CNY 31.2 trillion (~USD 4.5 trillion) in 2022, up from CNY 29.31 trillion (~USD 4.2 trillion) in 2021. Moreover, as per the forecast given by the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, China’s construction sector is expected to maintain a 6% share of the country’s GDP going into 2025.
- Further, in 2022, the 14th Five-Year Plan of China’s Green Buildings was issued, which put forward higher requirements for the high-quality development of green buildings.
- In China, large public buildings and international buildings prefer to apply LEED to demonstrate excellent green performance that complies with international standards. Still, other buildings tend to apply the Chinese local green building rating system, named Evaluation Standard for Green Building (ESGB), for the domestic market.
- In 2022, the United States Green Building Council (USGBC) announced China ranks first in the world on its annual list of Top 10 Countries and Regions for LEED.
- Thus, rising green building construction is likely to increase the demand for geopolymers in the forecasted period.
Road and Pavement Segment to Dominate the Market
- Geopolymer cement is an eco-friendly and cost-effective alternative to Portland cement due to its superior performance. In road and pavement construction, it offers superior mechanical properties, abrasion resistance, chemical resistance, and many other benefits.
- China has increased the construction of highway infrastructure to maintain and increase investment for the stabilization of the economy.
- The Belt and Road Initiative is a massive China-led infrastructure project that aims to stretch around the globe and is likely to increase the demand for geopolymers in the forecast period.
- According to the Ministry of Finance of the People's Republic of China, the total public expenditure on transport infrastructure in China amounted to about CNY 1.2 trillion (~USD 0.18 trillion) in 2022.
- China further plans to build a highway network of 461,000 kilometers (km), of which 162,000 kilometers will be expressways by 2035, and further expand it to become a world-class one by 2050.
- Several new highway projects are going ahead in China that are likely to positively influence the geopolymer market. For instance, in June 2023, the procedure for the construction of the Yongjing Jingping Expressway Project started. The Yongjing Jingping Expressway has a total length of 4.12 kilometers with an investment value of CNY 7.06 billion (~USD 1.05 billion).
- Similarly, in Qinghai Province, construction of the G0612 Xining-Hetian Expressway Huangyuan-Xihai Highway Project worth CNY 5.66 billion (~USD 0.84 billion) started in April 2023. The project includes the construction of a two-way, four-lane expressway with a total expressway length of 50.7 kilometers and a roadbed width of 26 meters.
- Therefore, all such aforementioned factors are anticipated to increase the demand for geopolymers through the forecast period.