Autonomous Delivery Robots Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

The Autonomous Delivery Robots Market Report is Segmented by Robot Type (Indoor, Outdoor, Hybrid), Application (Food, Grocery, Parcel, and More), Load Capacity (Up To 10kg, 10-25kg, 25-80kg, Above 80kg), End-User (Healthcare, Hotels, Retail, and More), Component (Hardware, Software and More), Propulsion (Electric, Hydrogen, Hybrid), Level of Autonomy, and Geography. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Autonomous Delivery Robots Market Size and Share

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Autonomous Delivery Robots Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence

The autonomous delivery robots market is currently valued at USD 1.11 billion and is projected to reach USD 2.8 billion by 2030, advancing at a 20.33% CAGR. Growth is grounded in rising labor shortages, swift technological maturation, and supportive regulations that ease sidewalk deployments. Major logistics spenders continue to view the technology as mission-critical; Amazon alone targets USD 200 billion of automation savings through robotic solutions. North America leads adoption thanks to 32.1% 2024 share, while Asia-Pacific follows at 25% as aging populations increase demand for contact-free healthcare logistics. Outdoor sidewalk robots dominate with 58% share, and hybrid all-terrain units post the fastest 27.8% CAGR, signaling a clear preference for platforms that handle both urban and indoor routes. Competitive activity remains intense as venture-backed specialists scale fleets in partnership with delivery platforms, while automotive incumbents pursue healthcare and industrial niches. Headwinds tied to payload limits and high LiDAR costs persist, yet rapid sensor price declines and new community-engagement strategies point to a wider addressable base over the forecast horizon.

Key Report Takeaways

  • By robot type, outdoor models held 58% of the autonomous delivery robots market share in 2024; hybrid all-terrain robots are forecast to expand at a 27.8% CAGR through 2030.
  • By application, food delivery led with 42.5% revenue share in 2024; grocery and convenience deliveries are projected to record a 24.3% CAGR to 2030.
  • By load capacity, units up to 10 kg accounted for 46.7% share of the autonomous delivery robots market size in 2024; robots above 80 kg show the highest 23.1% CAGR outlook.
  • By end-user industry, retail and e-commerce logistics commanded 49.2% share in 2024, while healthcare facilities are advancing at a 25.6% CAGR to 2030.
  • By propulsion, battery-electric systems captured 93.5% share in 2024; hydrogen fuel-cell platforms post a 31.4% CAGR from a small base.
  • Serve Robotics, Starship Technologies, and Nuro collectively controlled 18% of global fleet deployments in 2024.

Segment Analysis

By Robot Type: Outdoor Dominance Drives Market Evolution

Outdoor robots generated 58% of 2024 revenue, anchoring the autonomous delivery robots market through well-tested sidewalk operations. This dominance reflects reliable partnerships with food aggregators and local regulators that allow scalable city deployments. Operators continue to refine chassis for curbs, crosswalks, and pedestrian interaction, reinforcing their urban stronghold.

Hybrid all-terrain units expand rapidly at 27.8% CAGR because retail and hospitality customers ask for seamless door-to-door service that crosses thresholds. Suppliers respond by integrating four-wheel steering, modular cargo pods, and ruggedized suspension, a trend evident in Avride’s pivot to NVIDIA-powered four-wheel platforms. Indoor service robots maintain niche roles in campuses and hospitals where controlled corridors permit higher autonomy without full street-grade sensing.[3]Andrew Tarantola, “Avride Next-Gen Delivery Robot Adds NVIDIA AI,” engadget.com

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Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Application: Food Delivery Leadership Faces Grocery Challenge

Food delivery retained 42.5% revenue share in 2024, proving that frequent small-ticket orders still underpin the autonomous delivery robots market. High repetition optimizes asset utilization and simplifies route learning, supporting fleet-level profitability for platforms such as Serve Robotics.

Grocery and convenience segments rise 24.3% annually as retailers chase sub-hour fulfillment. Robots accommodate temperature-controlled totes and door-step protocols that boost basket size and tip-influenced economics. Parcel courier services also advance, but payload ceilings still limit heavier SKUs, keeping focus on lightweight e-commerce orders for now.

By Load Capacity: Weight Limits Shape Market Boundaries

Units carrying ≤ 10 kg held 46.7% share of the autonomous delivery robots market size in 2024 because most meals and small parcels fall inside that envelope. Lightweight frames enable longer ranges on standard batteries and comply with sidewalk weight caps.

Demand for 80 kg-plus robots grows 23.1% per year as retailers test bulk grocery drops and campus mailcart equivalents. Development hinges on stronger drivetrains and denser batteries that do not breach curb weight laws. Mid-range categories stay important for pharmacy and multi-meal orders where single-trip value offsets additional energy draw.

Autonomous Delivery Robots Market: Market Share by Load Capacity
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Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By End-User Industry: Retail Leadership Drives Ecosystem Development

Retail and e-commerce companies captured 49.2% share in 2024, validating that shopper expectations for same-day delivery favor robotic help. Deployment at big-box grocers, convenience chains, and dark stores cements this segment’s primacy and steers vendor roadmaps toward food-safe containers and dynamic rerouting.

Healthcare facilities, rising at 25.6% CAGR, illustrate a premium niche where service reliability outweighs cost. Robots ferry medication, lab samples, and meals along predictable corridors, freeing staff and reducing infection exposure. Early wins at Japanese hospitals signal similar adoption prospects in Europe and North America as regulations mature.

Geography Analysis

North America retained 32.1% share in 2024, reflecting high wage inflation and a supportive patchwork of state-level rules. California and Texas host the largest urban pilots, with Serve Robotics targeting 2,000 units by year-end 2025 under an Uber Eats framework. College-town deployments add scale; Grubhub and Yandex plan rollouts across 250 campuses, potentially forming the world’s densest robot network.

Asia-Pacific followed with a 25% stake as Japan and South Korea accelerate healthcare and smart-city programs. South Korea’s sidewalk-friendly legislation caps robot speed at 15 km/h and weight at 500 kg, unlocking commercial trials in apartment complexes and hospitals. Toyota’s Potaro system shows the model for intra-hospital use, highlighting APAC’s focus on aging-related logistics.

Europe contributes a solid revenue base, aided by stringent ESG mandates that penalize diesel vans in city centers. Starship Technologies operates in Germany and the UK under regulatory exemptions that let slow-moving robots share pedestrian zones. Operators still navigate complex, multi-jurisdiction approval processes, slowing scale, yet the environmental tailwinds keep adoption on a steady path.

Autonomous Delivery Robots Market CAGR (%), Growth Rate by Region
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Competitive Landscape

The autonomous delivery robots market remains moderately fragmented, with top five vendors holding just under 25% of installed fleets. Venture-funded disrupters rely on rapid capital injections to finance production tooling and city launch costs. Serve Robotics raised USD 80 million in January 2025, lifting total funding above USD 247 million as it aims for breakeven on a 2,000-unit fleet. Starship Technologies secured USD 90 million in February 2024 to expand global operations and has logged 11 million robot miles to date.

Sensor strategy differentiates rivals. LiDAR-centric players tout millimeter-level mapping, while Cartken proves that computer-vision stacks without LiDAR can still achieve urban reliability at lower cost, having reached profitability with under USD 25 million raised. Automotive OEM entrants such as Toyota leverage deep manufacturing know-how to produce hospital-grade platforms and exploit existing service networks.

Partnerships with food aggregators or retailers often dictate deployment velocity. Uber Eats, Grubhub, Walmart, and Kroger each select hardware partners to secure exclusive city zones, creating de-facto geographic strongholds. In parallel, software-only firms license navigation stacks to white-label hardware made by contract manufacturers, signaling a move toward modular value chains.

Autonomous Delivery Robots Industry Leaders

  1. Starship Technologies

  2. Ottonomy.IO

  3. Nuro Inc.

  4. Serve Robotics Inc.

  5. Kiwibot

  6. *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
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Recent Industry Developments

  • January 2025: Serve Robotics secured USD 80 million in funding to expand its sidewalk delivery robot fleet from 100 to 2,000 units by the end of 2025, bringing total funding to over USD 247 million. The expansion aims to achieve operational cash-flow positivity while serving Uber Eats and 7-Eleven partnerships across multiple urban markets.
  • November 2024: Serve Robotics announced third quarter 2024 results showing plans for geographic expansion into Dallas Fort Worth metro area and a capital raise of USD 32.3 million, bringing cash balance to USD 50.9 million. The company reported 108% year-over-year increase in daily supply hours and 97% increase in daily active robots.
  • November 2024: Nuro expanded driverless delivery robot testing in Mountain View and Houston following a strategic pivot to license its autonomous vehicle technology to other companies. The expansion reflects the company's focus on partnerships to leverage its technology for broader market applications.
  • October 2024: Avride unveiled a next-generation four-wheel delivery robot design powered by NVIDIA AI, improving maneuverability, speed, and parking capabilities on inclines. The new model features a detachable storage section and utilizes the NVIDIA Jetson Orin platform for enhanced autonomous navigation.

Table of Contents for Autonomous Delivery Robots Industry Report

1. INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4. MARKET LANDSCAPE

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Rapid expansion of on-demand grocery delivery in urban Asia
    • 4.2.2 Rising labor shortages and wage inflation in North-American fulfilment
    • 4.2.3 ESG-driven push for zero-emission last-mile vehicles in the EU
    • 4.2.4 Aging population spurring intra-hospital delivery automation in Japan
    • 4.2.5 24/7 contact-free services demand in Middle-East luxury hotels
    • 4.2.6 5G edge-compute enabling higher robot autonomy in dense city cores
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Municipal sidewalk regulation variability in US cities
    • 4.3.2 Limited payload capacity restricting ROI for bulk goods
    • 4.3.3 High upfront cost of LiDAR and sensor suites
    • 4.3.4 Vandalism and theft incidents in S-American metros
  • 4.4 Value-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Technological Outlook
  • 4.6 Impact of Macro-Trend Analysis
  • 4.7 Regulatory Outlook
  • 4.8 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.8.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.8.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.8.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.8.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.8.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
  • 4.9 Investment and Funding Analysis

5. MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

  • 5.1 By Robot Type
    • 5.1.1 Indoor Service Robots
    • 5.1.2 Outdoor Autonomous Delivery Robots
    • 5.1.3 Hybrid All-Terrain Robots
  • 5.2 By Application
    • 5.2.1 Food Delivery
    • 5.2.2 Grocery and Convenience Deliveries
    • 5.2.3 Parcel and Courier (E-commerce)
    • 5.2.4 Healthcare Supply and Medication
    • 5.2.5 Hospitality Room-Service
    • 5.2.6 Industrial Campus Logistics
  • 5.3 By Load Capacity
    • 5.3.1 Up to 10 kg
    • 5.3.2 10 - 25 kg
    • 5.3.3 25 - 80 kg
    • 5.3.4 Above 80 kg
  • 5.4 By End-User Industry
    • 5.4.1 Healthcare Facilities
    • 5.4.2 Hospitality and Hotels
    • 5.4.3 Retail and E-commerce Logistics
    • 5.4.4 Corporates and Academic Campuses
    • 5.4.5 Airports and Transportation Hubs
    • 5.4.6 Smart Cities and Municipal Agencies
  • 5.5 By Component
    • 5.5.1 Hardware
    • 5.5.2 Software / AI Stack
    • 5.5.3 After-Sales Services and Fleet Management
  • 5.6 By Propulsion Type
    • 5.6.1 Electric Battery
    • 5.6.2 Hydrogen Fuel Cell
    • 5.6.3 Hybrid Energy Harvesting
  • 5.7 By Level of Autonomy
    • 5.7.1 Semi-Autonomous (Human-Supervised)
    • 5.7.2 Fully Autonomous (Level 4)
    • 5.7.3 Swarm/Clustered Autonomous Network (Level 5)
  • 5.8 By Geography
    • 5.8.1 North America
    • 5.8.1.1 United States
    • 5.8.1.2 Canada
    • 5.8.1.3 Mexico
    • 5.8.2 South America
    • 5.8.2.1 Brazil
    • 5.8.2.2 Argentina
    • 5.8.2.3 Chile
    • 5.8.3 Europe
    • 5.8.3.1 Germany
    • 5.8.3.2 United Kingdom
    • 5.8.3.3 France
    • 5.8.3.4 Italy
    • 5.8.3.5 Spain
    • 5.8.4 Middle East
    • 5.8.4.1 United Arab Emirates
    • 5.8.4.2 Saudi Arabia
    • 5.8.4.3 Turkey
    • 5.8.5 Africa
    • 5.8.5.1 South Africa
    • 5.8.5.2 Kenya
    • 5.8.6 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.8.6.1 China
    • 5.8.6.2 Australia
    • 5.8.6.3 Japan
    • 5.8.6.4 Singapore
    • 5.8.6.5 India
    • 5.8.6.6 South Korea

6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles {(includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)}
    • 6.4.1 Starship Technologies
    • 6.4.2 Nuro Inc.
    • 6.4.3 Kiwibot
    • 6.4.4 Serve Robotics Inc.
    • 6.4.5 Ottonomy.IO
    • 6.4.6 Relay Robotics Inc.
    • 6.4.7 Postmates Inc. (Serve by Uber)
    • 6.4.8 Aethon Inc.
    • 6.4.9 Segway Robotics Inc.
    • 6.4.10 Neolix
    • 6.4.11 Udelv Inc.
    • 6.4.12 JD Logistics (Jian Robots)
    • 6.4.13 Alibaba Cainiao (Xiaomanlv)
    • 6.4.14 Yandex Rover
    • 6.4.15 FedEx Roxo
    • 6.4.16 Amazon Scout
    • 6.4.17 Rival Robotics Inc.
    • 6.4.18 TeleRetail (Aitonomi AG)
    • 6.4.19 Daxbot
    • 6.4.20 Locus Robotics (campus variant)
    • 6.4.21 Kiwi Campus SAS

7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment
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Global Autonomous Delivery Robots Market Report Scope

Autonomous delivery robots perform autonomously and are generally utilized for delivery and service applications. These robots are electric-powered vehicles that deliver items or packages to customers without a delivery person. The studied Market is segmented by various end users such as Healthcare, Hospitality, Retail & Logistics among multiple geographies. The impact of macroeconomic trends on the Market is also covered under the scope of the study. Further, the disturbance of the factors affecting the Market's evolution in the near future has been covered in the study regarding drivers and constraints. The market sizes and predictions are provided in terms of value (USD) for all the above segments.

By Robot Type Indoor Service Robots
Outdoor Autonomous Delivery Robots
Hybrid All-Terrain Robots
By Application Food Delivery
Grocery and Convenience Deliveries
Parcel and Courier (E-commerce)
Healthcare Supply and Medication
Hospitality Room-Service
Industrial Campus Logistics
By Load Capacity Up to 10 kg
10 - 25 kg
25 - 80 kg
Above 80 kg
By End-User Industry Healthcare Facilities
Hospitality and Hotels
Retail and E-commerce Logistics
Corporates and Academic Campuses
Airports and Transportation Hubs
Smart Cities and Municipal Agencies
By Component Hardware
Software / AI Stack
After-Sales Services and Fleet Management
By Propulsion Type Electric Battery
Hydrogen Fuel Cell
Hybrid Energy Harvesting
By Level of Autonomy Semi-Autonomous (Human-Supervised)
Fully Autonomous (Level 4)
Swarm/Clustered Autonomous Network (Level 5)
By Geography North America United States
Canada
Mexico
South America Brazil
Argentina
Chile
Europe Germany
United Kingdom
France
Italy
Spain
Middle East United Arab Emirates
Saudi Arabia
Turkey
Africa South Africa
Kenya
Asia-Pacific China
Australia
Japan
Singapore
India
South Korea
By Robot Type
Indoor Service Robots
Outdoor Autonomous Delivery Robots
Hybrid All-Terrain Robots
By Application
Food Delivery
Grocery and Convenience Deliveries
Parcel and Courier (E-commerce)
Healthcare Supply and Medication
Hospitality Room-Service
Industrial Campus Logistics
By Load Capacity
Up to 10 kg
10 - 25 kg
25 - 80 kg
Above 80 kg
By End-User Industry
Healthcare Facilities
Hospitality and Hotels
Retail and E-commerce Logistics
Corporates and Academic Campuses
Airports and Transportation Hubs
Smart Cities and Municipal Agencies
By Component
Hardware
Software / AI Stack
After-Sales Services and Fleet Management
By Propulsion Type
Electric Battery
Hydrogen Fuel Cell
Hybrid Energy Harvesting
By Level of Autonomy
Semi-Autonomous (Human-Supervised)
Fully Autonomous (Level 4)
Swarm/Clustered Autonomous Network (Level 5)
By Geography
North America United States
Canada
Mexico
South America Brazil
Argentina
Chile
Europe Germany
United Kingdom
France
Italy
Spain
Middle East United Arab Emirates
Saudi Arabia
Turkey
Africa South Africa
Kenya
Asia-Pacific China
Australia
Japan
Singapore
India
South Korea
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Key Questions Answered in the Report

What is the current autonomous delivery robots market size?

The autonomous delivery robots market stands at USD 1.11 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 2.8 billion by 2030 at a 20.33% CAGR.

Which segment holds the largest autonomous delivery robots market share?

Outdoor sidewalk robots led with 58% share in 2024, reflecting mature urban deployments.

How fast is the grocery segment growing within the autonomous delivery robots market?

Grocery and convenience deliveries are expanding at a 24.3% CAGR through 2030 as retailers seek faster, cost-efficient last-mile options.

Why are LiDAR costs viewed as a restraint for the autonomous delivery robots industry?

Traditional LiDAR units significantly raise robot price tags; although new ultrasonic and vision-based sensors can cut costs up to 80%, they still await wide regulatory acceptance.

Which regions are expected to adopt autonomous delivery robots most rapidly?

North America leads today due to labor shortages, while Asia-Pacific and Europe follow closely on the back of healthcare automation and zero-emission mandates, respectively.

What level of autonomy is most common in commercial fleets?

Semi-autonomous Level 3 robots with remote oversight account for 71% of active deployments, balancing operational readiness with current regulatory requirements.

Page last updated on: July 6, 2025

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