Almond Ingredients Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends and Forecast (2026 - 2031)

Global Almond Ingredients Market Trends and Insights

Rising demand for plant-based food

Almond protein’s complete amino-acid profile and neutral taste allow high inclusion levels in dairy substitutes, meat analogs, and protein bars, and partially defatted almond flour is now approved for up to 80% use in nutritional formulations, according to the FDA. Manufacturers are emphasizing their clean-label positioning and achieving better sensory scores when compared to soy and pea proteins. For example, Anthony markets an almond protein powder, touting it as being crafted from just one ingredient: California-grown almonds. This product is gluten-free, non-GMO, vegan, and devoid of fillers, artificial flavors, or additives. In a similar vein, Blue Diamond Growers, alongside other processors, is ramping up new protein extraction lines, fueling double-digit growth in plant-based categories. This surge in demand has led to heightened procurement activities, prompting orchard expansions beyond U.S. borders to ensure a diversified supply.

Growth of convenient, on-the-go healthy snacking

Urban consumers are increasingly favoring portable, nutrient-dense snacks, leading to a surge in the popularity of value-added almond products like energy bites, protein clusters, and spice-coated kernels. This trend is underscored by rising almond consumption. Data from the US Department of Agriculture reveals that in 2023/2024, per capita almond consumption in the U.S. reached nearly 2.3 pounds, marking the highest level in a decade^{[1]US Department of Agriculture," Per capita almond consumption in the United States", www.ers.usda.gov}. Additionally, processors are reaping benefits from broader premium price ranges and heightened retailer acceptance of single-serve packs, especially those that prominently highlight health benefits, fueling the market's expansion. In line with this growing demand for almond-based foods and snacks, players are focused on expanding their almond ingredient lines to cater to the growing demand. For instance, in 2025, Almendras de Andalucía showcased a defatted almond powder, which is a high-protein ingredient suitable for fortified foods and health products.

Growing consumer preference for clean label and gluten-free ingredients

Almond flour, a gluten-free alternative, is increasingly replacing wheat flour in bakery and confectionery products, boosting protein content without the need for artificial stabilizers. While mandatory allergen disclosures for tree nuts enhance transparency, they also position almonds as a favored natural ingredient among health-conscious consumers. The rising demand for clean-label, organic, and natural foods is opening doors for manufacturers to introduce products boasting such claims. For example, data from the Bundesanstalt für Landwirtschaft und Ernährung (BMEL) indicates that by June 2024, 7,125 companies were active in producing or selling organic-labeled products in Germany^{[2]Bundesanstalt für Landwirtschaft und Ernährung," Development of product advertisements for the use of the organic seal, www.oekolandbau.de}. Furthermore, formulators are turning to almond-based binders and emulsifiers to eliminate synthetic additives and streamline ingredient lists. A case in point: in 2024, Elmhurst utilized its HydroRelease method to cold-mill whole almonds, creating a non-dairy “milk” devoid of gums, stabilizers, or synthetic emulsifiers, and instead, relying on almond proteins and fibers for emulsion and texture.

Innovations in food processing and applications

Advanced techniques, including cold-press milling, protein fractionation, and hydrolysis, are transforming almonds into natural emulsifiers, binders, and texturizers. This shift allows formulators to move away from synthetic additives like gums, starches, and mono- and diglycerides. As a result, almonds now offer enhanced emulsification, moisture retention, and oxidative stability for diverse applications, spanning from plant-based milks and bakery fillings to dressings and snacks. Furthermore, investments in AI-driven shelling lines and facilities that convert by-products into energy not only reduce waste and carbon footprints but also align with retailer sustainability goals. Ongoing advancements in flavor encapsulation are broadening almond applications in ready-to-drink beverages and shelf-stable sauces, fueling market growth.

Availability of lower-priced nut and seed substitutes

Lower-priced substitutes like peanuts, sunflower seeds, and soy nuts are significantly restraining the almond ingredients market. These alternatives provide cost-sensitive food manufacturers and consumers with affordable options that don't drastically compromise on nutritional value or functionality. Often, these substitutes come with reduced raw material costs and exhibit less price volatility. This makes them particularly appealing for large-scale food production, especially in emerging markets with heightened price sensitivity. For example, StatCan reported that in August 2024, the average retail price for peanut butter in Canada was CAD 5.97 per kilogram, down from CAD 6.09 the previous year. Furthermore, some of these substitutes can replicate the texture and binding properties of almonds in specific applications. This allows formulators to uphold product quality while being mindful of ingredient budgets. Such competitive pressures are curtailing the growth of the almond ingredient market.

High price volatility of raw almonds

Weather conditions, particularly droughts in key regions like California, along with fluctuating water availability, trade policies, and global supply-demand imbalances, heavily influence almond prices. These unpredictable swings in costs challenge food manufacturers in budgeting and maintaining consistent pricing for almond-based products. As a result, many manufacturers either reformulate with more stable alternatives or significantly reduce their almond usage. For instance, the Australian Almonds Organization reported a production drop in 2023, with Australia yielding 110.71 thousand metric tons of almonds, down from 140.96 thousand metric tons the previous year. Additionally, rising input costs are squeezing margins for both producers and processors of almond ingredients. This financial pressure could stifle innovation and expansion within the category. Such volatility not only hampers long-term strategic planning for brands but also jeopardizes supply chain stability, ultimately stunting broader market growth and adoption.

*Our forecasts treat driver/restraint impacts as directional, not additive. The impact forecasts reflect baseline growth, mix effects, and variable interactions.

Segment Analysis

By Product Type: Whole Almonds hold scale while oil captures growth

In 2025, Whole Almonds captured a 31.84% share of the almond market, buoyed by their popularity in traditional snacking and as inclusions in baked goods. Meanwhile, Almond Oil emerged as the fastest-growing product, boasting an impressive 10.78% CAGR projected through 2031. This surge is largely attributed to beauty formulators' increasing preference for plant-based emollients, especially those rich in vitamin E and phytosterols. Innovations in roasting and flavoring not only enhance the sensory appeal of almonds but also extend their shelf life, justifying premium price points. In the Asia-Pacific region, rising disposable incomes are driving volume expansion, while European markets are honing in on provenance cues and crafting lower-salt recipes to align with public health objectives. Manufacturers are channeling investments into refining roasting techniques and adopting vacuum-filled packaging, ensuring that crunch and flavor integrity are preserved throughout extended distribution chains. A case in point: Treehouse California Almonds provides bulk offerings of natural, blanched, and roasted whole almonds, available in vacuum-packed 50 lb boxes and 25 lb options—catering perfectly to food manufacturers prioritizing longevity and consistent quality.

Utilizing aqueous extraction lines, producers are minimizing solvent residues, paving the way for cosmetic-grade certifications. These certifications can command prices 3-4 times higher than their edible oil counterparts. The culinary world is also embracing almond oil, drawn by its stable smoke-point and the growing consumer inclination towards premium, mono-unsaturated fats. Almond derivatives like Pieces, Flour, Milk, Paste, and Extract are carving out niche yet lucrative markets. These segments find their sweet spot at the intersection of gluten-free baking, dairy alternatives, and natural flavoring. Each sub-segment capitalizes on almonds' nutritional reputation, fine-tuning aspects like particle size, fat content, and flavor intensity to cater to specific end-use requirements.

By Application: Food and Beverage dominate as beauty surges

In 2025, the Food and Beverage sector dominated revenues, accounting for 70.12%. Key drivers included bakery inclusions, dairy substitutes, confectionery centers, and premium snack mixes. Meanwhile, the Personal Care and Cosmetics sector is projected to grow at a robust 10.12% CAGR. Almonds, celebrated for their natural richness in protein, fiber, healthy fats, and especially vitamin E, have become a go-to choice for health-conscious consumers. Their adaptability means almond derivatives—like almond flour, milk, butter, and protein powder—find applications in dairy alternatives, baked goods, snacks, and nutritional supplements. This versatility is a significant driver of their growth. Moreover, the surging popularity of gluten-free, keto, vegan, and paleo diets has amplified the demand for almond-based products, as they seamlessly cater to diverse dietary preferences while delivering exceptional taste and texture. Manufacturers are also reaping the benefits of almond ingredients' functional attributes—emulsification, binding, and moisture retention—which enhance product quality without resorting to synthetic additives, bolstering the segment’s expansion.

Formulators in the Personal Care and Cosmetics sector appreciate almond ingredients for their subtle scent, quick skin absorption, and vitamin E richness. These attributes make them prime candidates for anti-aging and baby-care product lines. The segment is further buoyed by the rising clean-beauty movement, which prioritizes traceable, plant-based ingredients over traditional mineral oils and silicones. Highlighting the sector's vitality, U.S. health and personal care store sales reached approximately USD 444.94 billion in 2024, a notable increase from the prior year's USD 435.71 billion, as reported by the US Census Bureau. Additionally, there's a burgeoning trend in functional beverages, sports supplements, and nutraceutical gummies, where almond protein isolates and fiber fractions are adeptly meeting both texture and nutritional goals.

By Nature: Conventional scale meets organic premium

In 2025, conventional almond varieties dominated the almond market, accounting for 86.92% of the market size. This dominance is attributed to established supply chains and competitive pricing in mainstream channels. Meanwhile, organic almonds are on an upward trajectory, projected to grow at a 9.95% CAGR until 2031. This surge is driven by consumers' preference for pesticide-free production, often willing to pay a premium of 40-60% over their conventional counterparts. In the food sector, products derived from conventional almonds, such as almond flour, milk, butter, and protein, are gaining traction. These nutrient-rich, plant-based alternatives not only bolster clean-label, gluten-free, and vegan claims but also enhance taste, texture, and shelf stability. As a result, they're becoming staples in snacks, baked goods, and dairy alternatives, fueling the segment's expansion.

Organic almonds, cultivated without synthetic pesticides, fertilizers, or GMOs, resonate with the global shift towards health-conscious and eco-friendly choices. In the food and beverage realm, organic variants of almond flour, milk, butter, and protein are increasingly featured in products emphasizing organic, vegan, gluten-free, and non-GMO labels. These labels are becoming pivotal in shaping consumer purchasing choices. Highlighting this trend, data from Bund Ökologische Lebensmittelwirtschaft (BÖLW) reveals that organic food revenues in Germany neared EUR 17 billion in 2024. Furthermore, these organic ingredients not only bolster clean-label formulations but are also viewed as safer and more premium, further propelling the segment's growth.

Geography Analysis

In 2025, Europe commanded the almond market, accounting for 34.12% of the revenue. This dominance is bolstered by the continent's established consumption habits, Mediterranean culinary traditions, and EU regulations that prioritize clean-label and organic products. European consumers, known for their health-conscious choices, are gravitating towards plant-based, clean-label, organic, and functional foods. This trend dovetails seamlessly with products derived from almonds, including almond milk, flour, butter, and protein. Furthermore, Europe's growing almond production capacity is fueling the market's expansion, reducing the region's dependence on imports. For instance, the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service reported that in 2023-24, Europe emerged as the second-largest almond producer, churning out approximately 147.7 thousand metric tons.

Asia-Pacific is on a rapid ascent, boasting a 10.41% CAGR projected through 2031, largely propelled by China's nut intake, which has seen a twofold increase. Nations such as China, India, Japan, South Korea, and Australia are showing a heightened appetite for nutritious, premium, and functional foods. This shift has catalyzed the integration of almond-based ingredients across various sectors, from plant-based beverages and snacks to bakery items and dairy alternatives. Additionally, the region's burgeoning cosmetics and personal care sectors are tapping into almond oil and extracts, lauding their moisturizing and anti-aging benefits, thus amplifying the demand across multiple industries.

North America, with California at its helm, stands as a powerhouse in global almond output and processing. While domestic consumption remains stable, the region's growth hinges on premiumization and innovative functionalities in products. Both Canada and Mexico are witnessing a gradual shift, with health considerations steering preferences towards unsalted and roasted-no-oil almond varieties. Despite facing challenges like rising water costs and pollination fees, which highlight the significance of initiatives such as the KIND Almond Acres Initiative, growers maintain a competitive edge in exports. Meanwhile, South America is diversifying the landscape, thanks to Chile's expanding orchards and advantageous trade agreements with China. In contrast, the Middle East and Africa markets, while presenting long-term promise, are reliant on factors like increasing disposable incomes and enhanced logistics.

Regulatory Landscape

Almond ingredients are governed by food allergen, contaminant, and labeling regimes that directly shape formulation and trade. In the United States, almonds are treated as a major food allergen under FDA labeling requirements, reinforcing clear tree-nut declarations on packaged foods, beverages, and supplements. For California-origin supply, USDA AMS oversight of the California Almond Marketing Order frames handler compliance programs, including pathogen controls (notably those tied to the Almond Board of California) that affect costs and process choices for whole nuts, flours, and inclusions.

Export compliance anchors regulation-driven demand for testing and documentation. The Almond Board of California operates the mandatory Pre-Export Checks (PEC) program, recognized by the EU, to manage aflatoxin compliance and support smoother export clearances. In March 2026, USDA/AMS published proposed amendments tied to the California Almond Marketing Order, including extending the inedible disposition deadline from September 30 to November 30 and allowing the Almond Board of California to borrow via commercial lines of credit, signaling efforts to improve operational flexibility amid elevated inedible volumes since 2023. In China, the Standardization Administration of China implemented GB/T 30761-2025 to replace the prior 2014 standard, tightening the quality and inspection baseline for almonds and kernels sold into the market.

Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

Opportunity is expanding beyond traditional kernels and dairy-alternative beverages into higher-value ingredients that reduce additives and improve functionality. Processing and formulation trends highlighted in the report, such as cold-milling approaches that remove gums and stabilizers in almond beverages (for example, Elmhurst using its HydroRelease method) and new protein ingredients positioned for drinks and supplements (for example, Sabinsa Promond), point to whitespace in emulsification, binding, and texture solutions where almond proteins and fibers replace synthetic emulsifiers. On the demand side, measurable consumption and retail signals support premium and convenience-led formats: USDA data cited in the report shows US per capita almond consumption near 2.3 pounds in 2023/2024, and manufacturers continue adding value through defatted powders for fortified foods, such as the 2025 showcase by Almendras de Andalucia.

A second opportunity area is circular and by-product valorization that creates new ingredient streams while responding to sustainability scrutiny around water and waste. Research referenced in the evidence pack describes routes to recover polyphenols and other compounds from almond skins and processing water (including membrane filtration to produce antioxidant-rich powders), and industry attention on hull and skin utilization is rising alongside broader investments in by-product-to-energy and waste-reduction projects described in the report. In May 2026, USDA NASS published the 2026 Subjective Almond Forecast for California and the United States as part of its national reporting program, giving buyers and processors a timely planning anchor for sourcing and capacity decisions that underpin ingredient expansion and longer-cycle investments in extraction, fractionation, and shelf-stable formats.